Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 15·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
25%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,311,492,80sigur0,34–2,280,63–2,340,98–4,62mai sigur0,09–2,530,40–2,570,50–5,10
Șuturi pe poartă
41%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,925,1310,04sigur3,05–6,783,39–6,876,44–13,65mai sigur2,56–7,272,92–7,345,48–14,60
Total șuturi
51%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5513,9428,49sigur10,62–18,4710,38–17,5021,00–35,98mai sigur9,53–19,569,42–18,4618,95–38,03
Șuturi din careu
49%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,669,3218,98sigur6,72–12,616,64–12,0013,36–24,60mai sigur5,89–13,435,90–12,7411,79–26,17
Șuturi blocate
42%
14%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,214,308,51sigur2,33–6,092,65–5,954,97–12,04mai sigur1,78–6,632,16–6,453,94–13,08
Cornere
44%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,315,2710,58sigur3,09–7,523,27–7,276,37–14,79mai sigur2,52–8,102,74–7,805,26–15,90
Posesie %
22%
75%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,4256,70sigur37,63–51,2149,91–63,48mai sigur35,96–52,8848,24–65,15
Pase
19%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție414517931sigur347–481451–583797–1065mai sigur329–499433–601762–1100
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,1575,90sigur60,12–68,1771,58–80,23mai sigur58,82–69,4770,27–81,53
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9310,4521,37sigur8,09–13,767,50–13,3915,59–27,16mai sigur7,33–14,526,75–14,1414,09–28,66
Ofsaiduri
49%
23%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,373,22sigur0,69–3,010,28–2,470,97–5,48mai sigur0,39–3,310,00–2,750,38–6,07
Cartonașe galbene
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,923,69sigur0,72–2,820,79–3,051,51–5,87mai sigur0,45–3,080,50–3,340,95–6,42
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,120,19sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,310,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,440,00–0,82
Parade portar
42%
16%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,323,306,63sigur1,89–4,761,75–4,863,64–9,62mai sigur1,50–5,151,32–5,292,82–10,43
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,31 0,34–2,28 0,09–2,53 | 1,49 0,63–2,34 0,40–2,57 | 2,80 0,98–4,62 0,50–5,10 | 33% 25% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,92 3,05–6,78 2,56–7,27 | 5,13 3,39–6,87 2,92–7,34 | 10,04 6,44–13,65 5,48–14,60 | 41% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 14,55 10,62–18,47 9,53–19,56 | 13,94 10,38–17,50 9,42–18,46 | 28,49 21,00–35,98 18,95–38,03 | 51% 42% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,66 6,72–12,61 5,89–13,43 | 9,32 6,64–12,00 5,90–12,74 | 18,98 13,36–24,60 11,79–26,17 | 49% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,21 2,33–6,09 1,78–6,63 | 4,30 2,65–5,95 2,16–6,45 | 8,51 4,97–12,04 3,94–13,08 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Cornere | 5,31 3,09–7,52 2,52–8,10 | 5,27 3,27–7,27 2,74–7,80 | 10,58 6,37–14,79 5,26–15,90 | 44% 43% |
| Posesie % | 44,42 37,63–51,21 35,96–52,88 | 56,70 49,91–63,48 48,24–65,15 | — | 22% 75% |
| Pase | 414 347–481 329–499 | 517 451–583 433–601 | 931 797–1065 762–1100 | 19% 80% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,15 60,12–68,17 58,82–69,47 | 75,90 71,58–80,23 70,27–81,53 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 10,93 8,09–13,76 7,33–14,52 | 10,45 7,50–13,39 6,75–14,14 | 21,37 15,59–27,16 14,09–28,66 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,85 0,69–3,01 0,39–3,31 | 1,37 0,28–2,47 0,00–2,75 | 3,22 0,97–5,48 0,38–6,07 | 49% 23% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,77 0,72–2,82 0,45–3,08 | 1,92 0,79–3,05 0,50–3,34 | 3,69 1,51–5,87 0,95–6,42 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,32 1,89–4,76 1,50–5,15 | 3,30 1,75–4,86 1,32–5,29 | 6,63 3,64–9,62 2,82–10,43 | 42% 16% 42% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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