Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 15·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
60%
22%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,940,972,91sigur0,97–2,910,11–1,821,08–4,73mai sigur0,72–3,160,00–2,050,61–5,21
Șuturi pe poartă
75%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,913,369,27sigur4,05–7,781,62–5,105,67–12,88mai sigur3,56–8,271,15–5,574,71–13,83
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,0310,8527,88sigur13,10–20,957,29–14,4220,39–35,37mai sigur12,01–22,046,33–15,3818,34–37,42
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,616,9718,58sigur8,67–14,554,29–9,6612,96–24,21mai sigur7,84–15,383,56–10,3911,39–25,77
Șuturi blocate
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,552,777,31sigur2,66–6,431,11–4,423,78–10,85mai sigur2,12–6,970,62–4,912,74–11,88
Cornere
78%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,523,5410,07sigur4,31–8,741,54–5,545,85–14,28mai sigur3,74–9,311,01–6,084,75–15,39
Posesie %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,4142,35sigur50,62–64,2035,57–49,14mai sigur48,95–65,8733,89–50,81
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție557386943sigur490–624320–453810–1077mai sigur472–643302–470774–1113
Precizie pase %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,4969,42sigur70,46–78,5265,09–73,74mai sigur69,17–79,8163,79–75,05
Faulturi
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1311,9323,06sigur8,29–13,978,99–14,8817,28–28,84mai sigur7,53–14,728,24–15,6315,77–30,35
Ofsaiduri
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,953,69sigur0,58–2,900,85–3,041,44–5,94mai sigur0,28–3,200,57–3,330,85–6,53
Cartonașe galbene
30%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,853,28sigur0,38–2,470,72–2,981,10–5,46mai sigur0,11–2,740,43–3,270,54–6,01
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,090,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
23%
14%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,583,926,51sigur1,15–4,022,37–5,483,52–9,50mai sigur0,76–4,411,94–5,902,70–10,31
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,94 0,97–2,91 0,72–3,16 | 0,97 0,11–1,82 0,00–2,05 | 2,91 1,08–4,73 0,61–5,21 | 60% 22% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,91 4,05–7,78 3,56–8,27 | 3,36 1,62–5,10 1,15–5,57 | 9,27 5,67–12,88 4,71–13,83 | 75% 15% |
| Total șuturi | 17,03 13,10–20,95 12,01–22,04 | 10,85 7,29–14,42 6,33–15,38 | 27,88 20,39–35,37 18,34–37,42 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,61 8,67–14,55 7,84–15,38 | 6,97 4,29–9,66 3,56–10,39 | 18,58 12,96–24,21 11,39–25,77 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,55 2,66–6,43 2,12–6,97 | 2,77 1,11–4,42 0,62–4,91 | 7,31 3,78–10,85 2,74–11,88 | 68% 20% |
| Cornere | 6,52 4,31–8,74 3,74–9,31 | 3,54 1,54–5,54 1,01–6,08 | 10,07 5,85–14,28 4,75–15,39 | 78% 13% |
| Posesie % | 57,41 50,62–64,20 48,95–65,87 | 42,35 35,57–49,14 33,89–50,81 | — | 80% 17% |
| Pase | 557 490–624 472–643 | 386 320–453 302–470 | 943 810–1077 774–1113 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,49 70,46–78,52 69,17–79,81 | 69,42 65,09–73,74 63,79–75,05 | — | 72% 24% |
| Faulturi | 11,13 8,29–13,97 7,53–14,72 | 11,93 8,99–14,88 8,24–15,63 | 23,06 17,28–28,84 15,77–30,35 | 39% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,74 0,58–2,90 0,28–3,20 | 1,95 0,85–3,04 0,57–3,33 | 3,69 1,44–5,94 0,85–6,53 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,43 0,38–2,47 0,11–2,74 | 1,85 0,72–2,98 0,43–3,27 | 3,28 1,10–5,46 0,54–6,01 | 30% 23% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,58 1,15–4,02 0,76–4,41 | 3,92 2,37–5,48 1,94–5,90 | 6,51 3,52–9,50 2,70–10,31 | 23% 14% 63% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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