Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 16·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
24%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,122,82sigur0,74–2,670,26–1,971,00–4,64mai sigur0,48–2,920,04–2,200,52–5,12
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,114,019,12sigur3,25–6,972,27–5,755,52–12,73mai sigur2,76–7,461,80–6,224,56–13,68
Total șuturi
70%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4111,3125,72sigur10,48–18,337,75–14,8718,23–33,21mai sigur9,39–19,426,79–15,8316,18–35,26
Șuturi din careu
59%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,217,7216,93sigur6,27–12,155,04–10,4011,31–22,55mai sigur5,44–12,984,30–11,149,74–24,12
Șuturi blocate
54%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,883,086,96sigur2,00–5,761,43–4,743,43–10,50mai sigur1,45–6,300,94–5,232,39–11,53
Cornere
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,474,229,69sigur3,26–7,682,22–6,225,48–13,91mai sigur2,68–8,261,69–6,754,37–15,01
Posesie %
58%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,5348,27sigur45,74–59,3241,49–55,06mai sigur44,07–60,9939,82–56,73
Pase
67%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție498444942sigur431–566377–510809–1076mai sigur413–584360–528773–1112
Precizie pase %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,6673,18sigur67,63–75,6968,85–77,50mai sigur66,34–76,9867,54–78,81
Faulturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7311,0322,76sigur8,89–14,578,08–13,9716,98–28,54mai sigur8,14–15,337,33–14,7215,47–30,05
Ofsaiduri
22%
16%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,863,084,94sigur0,70–3,031,98–4,172,69–7,19mai sigur0,40–3,331,69–4,462,10–7,78
Cartonașe galbene
37%
21%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,841,933,77sigur0,79–2,880,80–3,061,59–5,95mai sigur0,52–3,150,51–3,351,03–6,50
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
33%
16%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,733,265,99sigur1,30–4,171,70–4,823,00–8,98mai sigur0,91–4,561,28–5,242,19–9,80
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,70 0,74–2,67 0,48–2,92 | 1,12 0,26–1,97 0,04–2,20 | 2,82 1,00–4,64 0,52–5,12 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,11 3,25–6,97 2,76–7,46 | 4,01 2,27–5,75 1,80–6,22 | 9,12 5,52–12,73 4,56–13,68 | 58% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 14,41 10,48–18,33 9,39–19,42 | 11,31 7,75–14,87 6,79–15,83 | 25,72 18,23–33,21 16,18–35,26 | 70% 24% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,21 6,27–12,15 5,44–12,98 | 7,72 5,04–10,40 4,30–11,14 | 16,93 11,31–22,55 9,74–24,12 | 59% 31% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,88 2,00–5,76 1,45–6,30 | 3,08 1,43–4,74 0,94–5,23 | 6,96 3,43–10,50 2,39–11,53 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,47 3,26–7,68 2,68–8,26 | 4,22 2,22–6,22 1,69–6,75 | 9,69 5,48–13,91 4,37–15,01 | 59% 29% |
| Posesie % | 52,53 45,74–59,32 44,07–60,99 | 48,27 41,49–55,06 39,82–56,73 | — | 58% 38% |
| Pase | 498 431–566 413–584 | 444 377–510 360–528 | 942 809–1076 773–1112 | 67% 32% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,66 67,63–75,69 66,34–76,98 | 73,18 68,85–77,50 67,54–78,81 | — | 40% 55% |
| Faulturi | 11,73 8,89–14,57 8,14–15,33 | 11,03 8,08–13,97 7,33–14,72 | 22,76 16,98–28,54 15,47–30,05 | 52% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,86 0,70–3,03 0,40–3,33 | 3,08 1,98–4,17 1,69–4,46 | 4,94 2,69–7,19 2,10–7,78 | 22% 16% 62% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,84 0,79–2,88 0,52–3,15 | 1,93 0,80–3,06 0,51–3,35 | 3,77 1,59–5,95 1,03–6,50 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,73 1,30–4,17 0,91–4,56 | 3,26 1,70–4,82 1,28–5,24 | 5,99 3,00–8,98 2,19–9,80 | 33% 16% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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