Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 16·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
59%
21%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,041,123,16sigur1,07–3,010,26–1,971,33–4,98mai sigur0,82–3,260,04–2,200,85–5,46
Șuturi pe poartă
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,224,3710,60sigur4,36–8,092,63–6,126,99–14,20mai sigur3,87–8,572,17–6,586,04–15,16
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,9012,1330,03sigur13,97–21,828,57–15,6922,54–37,52mai sigur12,88–22,917,61–16,6520,49–39,57
Șuturi din careu
74%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,618,2319,84sigur8,67–14,555,55–10,9214,22–25,47mai sigur7,84–15,384,82–11,6512,65–27,03
Șuturi blocate
67%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,893,118,01sigur3,01–6,771,46–4,774,47–11,54mai sigur2,47–7,320,97–5,263,43–12,58
Cornere
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,203,8511,05sigur4,99–9,421,85–5,856,84–15,27mai sigur4,42–9,991,32–6,385,73–16,37
Posesie %
77%
20%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,0043,53sigur50,21–63,7936,75–50,32mai sigur48,54–65,4635,08–51,99
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție561421982sigur494–629354–487848–1116mai sigur476–647337–505813–1152
Precizie pase %
65%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,2873,80sigur73,25–81,3169,48–78,12mai sigur71,96–82,6068,17–79,43
Faulturi
42%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0011,4122,41sigur8,16–13,848,46–14,3516,62–28,19mai sigur7,40–14,597,72–15,1015,12–29,69
Ofsaiduri
43%
22%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,663,53sigur0,71–3,030,56–2,751,28–5,78mai sigur0,41–3,330,28–3,040,69–6,37
Cartonașe galbene
24%
21%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,292,053,34sigur0,24–2,340,92–3,181,16–5,52mai sigur0,00–2,610,63–3,470,61–6,08
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,080,13sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,270,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,400,00–0,76
Parade portar
28%
15%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,843,806,64sigur1,41–4,282,24–5,353,65–9,63mai sigur1,02–4,671,82–5,782,83–10,44
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,04 1,07–3,01 0,82–3,26 | 1,12 0,26–1,97 0,04–2,20 | 3,16 1,33–4,98 0,85–5,46 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,22 4,36–8,09 3,87–8,57 | 4,37 2,63–6,12 2,17–6,58 | 10,60 6,99–14,20 6,04–15,16 | 66% 23% |
| Total șuturi | 17,90 13,97–21,82 12,88–22,91 | 12,13 8,57–15,69 7,61–16,65 | 30,03 22,54–37,52 20,49–39,57 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,61 8,67–14,55 7,84–15,38 | 8,23 5,55–10,92 4,82–11,65 | 19,84 14,22–25,47 12,65–27,03 | 74% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,89 3,01–6,77 2,47–7,32 | 3,11 1,46–4,77 0,97–5,26 | 8,01 4,47–11,54 3,43–12,58 | 67% 21% |
| Cornere | 7,20 4,99–9,42 4,42–9,99 | 3,85 1,85–5,85 1,32–6,38 | 11,05 6,84–15,27 5,73–16,37 | 81% |
| Posesie % | 57,00 50,21–63,79 48,54–65,46 | 43,53 36,75–50,32 35,08–51,99 | — | 77% 20% |
| Pase | 561 494–629 476–647 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 982 848–1116 813–1152 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,28 73,25–81,31 71,96–82,60 | 73,80 69,48–78,12 68,17–79,43 | — | 65% 30% |
| Faulturi | 11,00 8,16–13,84 7,40–14,59 | 11,41 8,46–14,35 7,72–15,10 | 22,41 16,62–28,19 15,12–29,69 | 42% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,87 0,71–3,03 0,41–3,33 | 1,66 0,56–2,75 0,28–3,04 | 3,53 1,28–5,78 0,69–6,37 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,29 0,24–2,34 0,00–2,61 | 2,05 0,92–3,18 0,63–3,47 | 3,34 1,16–5,52 0,61–6,08 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,84 1,41–4,28 1,02–4,67 | 3,80 2,24–5,35 1,82–5,78 | 6,64 3,65–9,63 2,83–10,44 | 28% 15% 57% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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