Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 16·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
24%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,421,562,98sigur0,45–2,390,71–2,421,16–4,80mai sigur0,20–2,640,48–2,650,68–5,28
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
13%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,604,849,45sigur2,74–6,473,10–6,595,84–13,05mai sigur2,25–6,962,63–7,054,89–14,01
Total șuturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9413,1226,06sigur9,01–16,869,56–16,6818,57–33,55mai sigur7,92–17,958,60–17,6416,52–35,60
Șuturi din careu
49%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,439,0518,48sigur6,48–12,376,37–11,7312,85–24,10mai sigur5,65–13,205,63–12,4711,29–25,67
Șuturi blocate
34%
14%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,454,057,50sigur1,57–5,332,40–5,713,97–11,04mai sigur1,02–5,871,91–6,202,93–12,07
Cornere
45%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,165,0610,22sigur2,94–7,373,06–7,066,00–14,43mai sigur2,37–7,942,53–7,594,89–15,54
Posesie %
30%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,1554,20sigur39,36–52,9447,42–60,98mai sigur37,69–54,6145,74–62,66
Pase
32%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție400454854sigur333–467388–521721–988mai sigur315–485370–538685–1024
Precizie pase %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,5369,94sigur56,50–64,5665,62–74,26mai sigur55,21–65,8664,31–75,57
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4012,1724,57sigur9,56–15,249,22–15,1118,79–30,35mai sigur8,81–15,998,47–15,8617,28–31,85
Ofsaiduri
24%
19%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,532,363,89sigur0,37–2,691,27–3,451,63–6,14mai sigur0,07–2,990,98–3,741,05–6,73
Cartonașe galbene
43%
21%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,773,74sigur0,92–3,020,64–2,901,56–5,92mai sigur0,65–3,280,35–3,191,00–6,47
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,080,19sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,270,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,400,00–0,82
Parade portar
47%
16%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,292,936,22sigur1,85–4,721,38–4,493,23–9,21mai sigur1,46–5,110,95–4,912,42–10,03
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,42 0,45–2,39 0,20–2,64 | 1,56 0,71–2,42 0,48–2,65 | 2,98 1,16–4,80 0,68–5,28 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,60 2,74–6,47 2,25–6,96 | 4,84 3,10–6,59 2,63–7,05 | 9,45 5,84–13,05 4,89–14,01 | 40% 13% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 12,94 9,01–16,86 7,92–17,95 | 13,12 9,56–16,68 8,60–17,64 | 26,06 18,57–33,55 16,52–35,60 | 45% 47% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,43 6,48–12,37 5,65–13,20 | 9,05 6,37–11,73 5,63–12,47 | 18,48 12,85–24,10 11,29–25,67 | 49% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,45 1,57–5,33 1,02–5,87 | 4,05 2,40–5,71 1,91–6,20 | 7,50 3,97–11,04 2,93–12,07 | 34% 14% 51% |
| Cornere | 5,16 2,94–7,37 2,37–7,94 | 5,06 3,06–7,06 2,53–7,59 | 10,22 6,00–14,43 4,89–15,54 | 45% 42% |
| Posesie % | 46,15 39,36–52,94 37,69–54,61 | 54,20 47,42–60,98 45,74–62,66 | — | 30% 66% |
| Pase | 400 333–467 315–485 | 454 388–521 370–538 | 854 721–988 685–1024 | 32% 67% |
| Precizie pase % | 60,53 56,50–64,56 55,21–65,86 | 69,94 65,62–74,26 64,31–75,57 | — | 87% |
| Faulturi | 12,40 9,56–15,24 8,81–15,99 | 12,17 9,22–15,11 8,47–15,86 | 24,57 18,79–30,35 17,28–31,85 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,53 0,37–2,69 0,07–2,99 | 2,36 1,27–3,45 0,98–3,74 | 3,89 1,63–6,14 1,05–6,73 | 24% 19% 56% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,97 0,92–3,02 0,65–3,28 | 1,77 0,64–2,90 0,35–3,19 | 3,74 1,56–5,92 1,00–6,47 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,29 1,85–4,72 1,46–5,11 | 2,93 1,38–4,49 0,95–4,91 | 6,22 3,23–9,21 2,42–10,03 | 47% 16% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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