Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 16·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
34%
28%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,161,252,41sigur0,19–2,130,40–2,110,59–4,24mai sigur0,00–2,380,17–2,340,11–4,72
Șuturi pe poartă
49%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,133,697,83sigur2,27–6,001,95–5,444,22–11,43mai sigur1,78–6,491,49–5,903,27–12,39
Total șuturi
64%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4711,1524,62sigur9,55–17,407,59–14,7117,13–32,11mai sigur8,46–18,496,63–15,6715,08–34,16
Șuturi din careu
65%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,876,8715,74sigur5,93–11,814,19–9,5510,12–21,36mai sigur5,10–12,643,45–10,298,55–22,93
Șuturi blocate
42%
15%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,563,567,11sigur1,67–5,441,90–5,213,58–10,65mai sigur1,13–5,981,41–5,702,54–11,68
Cornere
49%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,994,589,57sigur2,78–7,202,58–6,585,36–13,79mai sigur2,20–7,782,05–7,124,25–14,89
Posesie %
19%
77%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,9456,64sigur36,15–49,7349,86–63,43mai sigur34,48–51,4048,19–65,10
Pase
19%
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție413517930sigur346–480451–584796–1064mai sigur327–498433–601760–1099
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,9571,47sigur58,92–66,9867,15–75,79mai sigur57,62–68,2765,84–77,10
Faulturi
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3911,0523,44sigur9,55–15,238,10–13,9917,65–29,22mai sigur8,80–15,987,35–14,7416,15–30,72
Ofsaiduri
34%
20%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,872,184,05sigur0,71–3,031,09–3,271,80–6,30mai sigur0,41–3,330,80–3,561,21–6,89
Cartonașe galbene
41%
22%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,743,59sigur0,81–2,910,61–2,861,41–5,77mai sigur0,54–3,170,32–3,160,86–6,33
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,19sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
37%
17%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,662,935,59sigur1,23–4,101,38–4,492,60–8,59mai sigur0,84–4,490,95–4,911,79–9,40
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,16 0,19–2,13 0,00–2,38 | 1,25 0,40–2,11 0,17–2,34 | 2,41 0,59–4,24 0,11–4,72 | 34% 28% 39% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,13 2,27–6,00 1,78–6,49 | 3,69 1,95–5,44 1,49–5,90 | 7,83 4,22–11,43 3,27–12,39 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total șuturi | 13,47 9,55–17,40 8,46–18,49 | 11,15 7,59–14,71 6,63–15,67 | 24,62 17,13–32,11 15,08–34,16 | 64% 28% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,87 5,93–11,81 5,10–12,64 | 6,87 4,19–9,55 3,45–10,29 | 15,74 10,12–21,36 8,55–22,93 | 65% 26% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,56 1,67–5,44 1,13–5,98 | 3,56 1,90–5,21 1,41–5,70 | 7,11 3,58–10,65 2,54–11,68 | 42% 15% 42% |
| Cornere | 4,99 2,78–7,20 2,20–7,78 | 4,58 2,58–6,58 2,05–7,12 | 9,57 5,36–13,79 4,25–14,89 | 49% 38% |
| Posesie % | 42,94 36,15–49,73 34,48–51,40 | 56,64 49,86–63,43 48,19–65,10 | — | 19% 77% |
| Pase | 413 346–480 327–498 | 517 451–584 433–601 | 930 796–1064 760–1099 | 19% 81% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,95 58,92–66,98 57,62–68,27 | 71,47 67,15–75,79 65,84–77,10 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 12,39 9,55–15,23 8,80–15,98 | 11,05 8,10–13,99 7,35–14,74 | 23,44 17,65–29,22 16,15–30,72 | 57% 35% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,87 0,71–3,03 0,41–3,33 | 2,18 1,09–3,27 0,80–3,56 | 4,05 1,80–6,30 1,21–6,89 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,86 0,81–2,91 0,54–3,17 | 1,74 0,61–2,86 0,32–3,16 | 3,59 1,41–5,77 0,86–6,33 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,66 1,23–4,10 0,84–4,49 | 2,93 1,38–4,49 0,95–4,91 | 5,59 2,60–8,59 1,79–9,40 | 37% 17% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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