Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 17·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
26%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,292,72sigur0,46–2,400,44–2,150,90–4,54mai sigur0,21–2,650,21–2,370,42–5,02
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,574,218,78sigur2,71–6,432,47–5,955,17–12,38mai sigur2,22–6,922,00–6,424,22–13,34
Total șuturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0013,1827,18sigur10,07–17,929,62–16,7419,69–34,66mai sigur8,98–19,018,66–17,7017,64–36,71
Șuturi din careu
39%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,399,0217,41sigur5,44–11,336,34–11,7011,79–23,03mai sigur4,61–12,165,61–12,4410,22–24,60
Șuturi blocate
54%
14%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,253,447,70sigur2,37–6,141,79–5,104,16–11,23mai sigur1,83–6,681,30–5,593,13–12,27
Cornere
49%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,304,9110,21sigur3,09–7,522,91–6,916,00–14,43mai sigur2,52–8,092,38–7,444,89–15,53
Posesie %
59%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,7248,07sigur45,93–59,5141,29–54,86mai sigur44,26–61,1839,61–56,53
Pase
65%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție438392830sigur371–505326–459697–964mai sigur353–524308–476661–1000
Precizie pase %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,8568,13sigur60,82–68,8863,81–72,46mai sigur59,53–70,1762,50–73,77
Faulturi
67%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4011,6726,07sigur11,56–17,238,73–14,6220,29–31,85mai sigur10,80–17,997,98–15,3718,79–33,36
Ofsaiduri
31%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,421,783,20sigur0,26–2,580,69–2,880,95–5,46mai sigur0,00–2,880,40–3,170,36–6,05
Cartonașe galbene
39%
21%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,951,963,91sigur0,90–3,000,84–3,091,74–6,09mai sigur0,64–3,270,54–3,381,18–6,65
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
38%
17%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,843,075,90sigur1,40–4,271,51–4,622,91–8,90mai sigur1,01–4,661,09–5,052,10–9,71
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,43 0,46–2,40 0,21–2,65 | 1,29 0,44–2,15 0,21–2,37 | 2,72 0,90–4,54 0,42–5,02 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,57 2,71–6,43 2,22–6,92 | 4,21 2,47–5,95 2,00–6,42 | 8,78 5,17–12,38 4,22–13,34 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 14,00 10,07–17,92 8,98–19,01 | 13,18 9,62–16,74 8,66–17,70 | 27,18 19,69–34,66 17,64–36,71 | 52% 40% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,39 5,44–11,33 4,61–12,16 | 9,02 6,34–11,70 5,61–12,44 | 17,41 11,79–23,03 10,22–24,60 | 39% 51% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,25 2,37–6,14 1,83–6,68 | 3,44 1,79–5,10 1,30–5,59 | 7,70 4,16–11,23 3,13–12,27 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,30 3,09–7,52 2,52–8,09 | 4,91 2,91–6,91 2,38–7,44 | 10,21 6,00–14,43 4,89–15,53 | 49% 39% |
| Posesie % | 52,72 45,93–59,51 44,26–61,18 | 48,07 41,29–54,86 39,61–56,53 | — | 59% 37% |
| Pase | 438 371–505 353–524 | 392 326–459 308–476 | 830 697–964 661–1000 | 65% 35% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,85 60,82–68,88 59,53–70,17 | 68,13 63,81–72,46 62,50–73,77 | — | 31% 64% |
| Faulturi | 14,40 11,56–17,23 10,80–17,99 | 11,67 8,73–14,62 7,98–15,37 | 26,07 20,29–31,85 18,79–33,36 | 67% 26% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,42 0,26–2,58 0,00–2,88 | 1,78 0,69–2,88 0,40–3,17 | 3,20 0,95–5,46 0,36–6,05 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,95 0,90–3,00 0,64–3,27 | 1,96 0,84–3,09 0,54–3,38 | 3,91 1,74–6,09 1,18–6,65 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,84 1,40–4,27 1,01–4,66 | 3,07 1,51–4,62 1,09–5,05 | 5,90 2,91–8,90 2,10–9,71 | 38% 17% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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