Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 17·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
26%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,441,282,73sigur0,48–2,410,43–2,140,90–4,55mai sigur0,22–2,660,20–2,370,42–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
56%
13%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,733,768,48sigur2,86–6,592,01–5,504,88–12,09mai sigur2,37–7,081,55–5,973,92–13,04
Total șuturi
60%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0611,3624,42sigur9,13–16,987,80–14,9216,93–31,91mai sigur8,04–18,076,84–15,8814,88–33,96
Șuturi din careu
53%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,587,8116,39sigur5,64–11,525,13–10,4910,77–22,01mai sigur4,81–12,354,39–11,239,20–23,58
Șuturi blocate
56%
15%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,692,786,47sigur1,81–5,571,13–4,432,94–10,01mai sigur1,27–6,120,63–4,921,90–11,04
Cornere
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,664,6810,34sigur3,45–7,882,68–6,686,13–14,55mai sigur2,88–8,452,14–7,215,02–15,66
Posesie %
71%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,1844,61sigur48,39–61,9737,83–51,40mai sigur46,72–63,6436,15–53,07
Pase
80%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție489389878sigur422–557322–455745–1012mai sigur404–575305–473709–1048
Precizie pase %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,3065,04sigur62,27–70,3360,71–69,36mai sigur60,98–71,6259,40–70,67
Faulturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0313,4024,43sigur8,19–13,8610,46–16,3518,65–30,21mai sigur7,43–14,629,71–17,1017,14–31,72
Ofsaiduri
57%
18%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,801,914,71sigur1,64–3,960,82–3,002,46–6,97mai sigur1,34–4,270,53–3,291,87–7,56
Cartonașe galbene
24%
18%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,662,564,22sigur0,61–2,711,43–3,692,04–6,40mai sigur0,34–2,971,14–3,981,48–6,95
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,120,21sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,310,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,440,00–0,84
Parade portar
32%
16%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,603,205,80sigur1,17–4,041,65–4,762,81–8,80mai sigur0,78–4,431,22–5,182,00–9,61
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,44 0,48–2,41 0,22–2,66 | 1,28 0,43–2,14 0,20–2,37 | 2,73 0,90–4,55 0,42–5,03 | 41% 26% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,73 2,86–6,59 2,37–7,08 | 3,76 2,01–5,50 1,55–5,97 | 8,48 4,88–12,09 3,92–13,04 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Total șuturi | 13,06 9,13–16,98 8,04–18,07 | 11,36 7,80–14,92 6,84–15,88 | 24,42 16,93–31,91 14,88–33,96 | 60% 33% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,58 5,64–11,52 4,81–12,35 | 7,81 5,13–10,49 4,39–11,23 | 16,39 10,77–22,01 9,20–23,58 | 53% 38% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,69 1,81–5,57 1,27–6,12 | 2,78 1,13–4,43 0,63–4,92 | 6,47 2,94–10,01 1,90–11,04 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Cornere | 5,66 3,45–7,88 2,88–8,45 | 4,68 2,68–6,68 2,14–7,21 | 10,34 6,13–14,55 5,02–15,66 | 56% 32% |
| Posesie % | 55,18 48,39–61,97 46,72–63,64 | 44,61 37,83–51,40 36,15–53,07 | — | 71% 25% |
| Pase | 489 422–557 404–575 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 878 745–1012 709–1048 | 80% 20% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,30 62,27–70,33 60,98–71,62 | 65,04 60,71–69,36 59,40–70,67 | — | 54% 41% |
| Faulturi | 11,03 8,19–13,86 7,43–14,62 | 13,40 10,46–16,35 9,71–17,10 | 24,43 18,65–30,21 17,14–31,72 | 28% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,80 1,64–3,96 1,34–4,27 | 1,91 0,82–3,00 0,53–3,29 | 4,71 2,46–6,97 1,87–7,56 | 57% 18% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,66 0,61–2,71 0,34–2,97 | 2,56 1,43–3,69 1,14–3,98 | 4,22 2,04–6,40 1,48–6,95 | 24% 18% 57% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,21 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,60 1,17–4,04 0,78–4,43 | 3,20 1,65–4,76 1,22–5,18 | 5,80 2,81–8,80 2,00–9,61 | 32% 16% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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