Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 18·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
71%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,350,863,21sigur1,38–3,320,01–1,721,39–5,04mai sigur1,13–3,570,00–1,950,91–5,52
Șuturi pe poartă
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,693,149,83sigur4,83–8,551,40–4,886,23–13,44mai sigur4,34–9,040,93–5,355,27–14,39
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,089,3227,40sigur14,16–22,015,75–12,8819,91–34,89mai sigur13,07–23,104,79–13,8417,86–36,94
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,546,2718,81sigur9,60–15,483,59–8,9513,19–24,43mai sigur8,77–16,312,85–9,6911,62–26,00
Șuturi blocate
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,272,397,65sigur3,38–7,150,73–4,044,12–11,19mai sigur2,84–7,690,24–4,533,08–12,22
Cornere
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,973,2711,24sigur5,76–10,191,27–5,277,03–15,45mai sigur5,19–10,760,73–5,805,92–16,56
Posesie %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,8634,71sigur59,07–72,6527,93–41,50mai sigur57,40–74,3226,26–43,17
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție641340981sigur574–708274–407848–1115mai sigur556–726256–424812–1151
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție78,1165,99sigur74,08–82,1461,67–70,32mai sigur72,78–83,4360,36–71,63
Faulturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,8811,5921,47sigur7,04–12,728,65–14,5415,69–27,26mai sigur6,29–13,477,90–15,2914,19–28,76
Ofsaiduri
42%
20%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,121,984,10sigur0,96–3,280,89–3,071,85–6,36mai sigur0,66–3,580,60–3,361,26–6,95
Cartonașe galbene
20%
21%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,162,113,26sigur0,11–2,210,98–3,231,09–5,44mai sigur0,00–2,470,69–3,530,53–6,00
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,090,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,77
Parade portar
17%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,194,056,24sigur0,75–3,632,50–5,613,25–9,23mai sigur0,37–4,012,07–6,032,44–10,05
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,35 1,38–3,32 1,13–3,57 | 0,86 0,01–1,72 0,00–1,95 | 3,21 1,39–5,04 0,91–5,52 | 71% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,69 4,83–8,55 4,34–9,04 | 3,14 1,40–4,88 0,93–5,35 | 9,83 6,23–13,44 5,27–14,39 | 84% |
| Total șuturi | 18,08 14,16–22,01 13,07–23,10 | 9,32 5,75–12,88 4,79–13,84 | 27,40 19,91–34,89 17,86–36,94 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,54 9,60–15,48 8,77–16,31 | 6,27 3,59–8,95 2,85–9,69 | 18,81 13,19–24,43 11,62–26,00 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,27 3,38–7,15 2,84–7,69 | 2,39 0,73–4,04 0,24–4,53 | 7,65 4,12–11,19 3,08–12,22 | 81% |
| Cornere | 7,97 5,76–10,19 5,19–10,76 | 3,27 1,27–5,27 0,73–5,80 | 11,24 7,03–15,45 5,92–16,56 | 90% |
| Posesie % | 65,86 59,07–72,65 57,40–74,32 | 34,71 27,93–41,50 26,26–43,17 | — | 96% |
| Pase | 641 574–708 556–726 | 340 274–407 256–424 | 981 848–1115 812–1151 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 78,11 74,08–82,14 72,78–83,43 | 65,99 61,67–70,32 60,36–71,63 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 9,88 7,04–12,72 6,29–13,47 | 11,59 8,65–14,54 7,90–15,29 | 21,47 15,69–27,26 14,19–28,76 | 32% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,12 0,96–3,28 0,66–3,58 | 1,98 0,89–3,07 0,60–3,36 | 4,10 1,85–6,36 1,26–6,95 | 42% 20% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,16 0,11–2,21 0,00–2,47 | 2,11 0,98–3,23 0,69–3,53 | 3,26 1,09–5,44 0,53–6,00 | 20% 21% 59% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,19 0,75–3,63 0,37–4,01 | 4,05 2,50–5,61 2,07–6,03 | 6,24 3,25–9,23 2,44–10,05 | 17% 71% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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