Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 18·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
23%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,192,95sigur0,79–2,730,34–2,041,13–4,77mai sigur0,54–2,980,11–2,270,65–5,25
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,363,949,30sigur3,50–7,222,19–5,685,69–12,90mai sigur3,01–7,711,73–6,154,74–13,86
Total șuturi
76%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,5511,3726,92sigur11,63–19,487,80–14,9319,43–34,41mai sigur10,54–20,576,85–15,8917,38–36,46
Șuturi din careu
65%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,447,3016,74sigur6,49–12,384,62–9,9911,12–22,36mai sigur5,67–13,213,89–10,729,55–23,93
Șuturi blocate
56%
14%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,313,387,69sigur2,43–6,191,72–5,034,15–11,22mai sigur1,89–6,741,23–5,523,12–12,26
Cornere
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,774,5810,34sigur3,55–7,982,58–6,586,13–14,56mai sigur2,98–8,552,04–7,115,02–15,66
Posesie %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,2544,87sigur49,46–63,0438,08–51,65mai sigur47,79–64,7136,41–53,32
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție530387917sigur462–597321–454783–1051mai sigur444–615303–471748–1086
Precizie pase %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,2969,42sigur65,26–73,3265,10–73,75mai sigur63,97–74,6163,79–75,06
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7911,3123,10sigur8,95–14,638,36–14,2517,32–28,88mai sigur8,19–15,387,62–15,0015,81–30,38
Ofsaiduri
46%
21%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,021,703,73sigur0,86–3,180,61–2,801,47–5,98mai sigur0,56–3,480,32–3,090,88–6,57
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,983,76sigur0,73–2,830,85–3,111,58–5,93mai sigur0,46–3,100,56–3,401,02–6,49
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
31%
16%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,733,476,20sigur1,29–4,161,92–5,033,21–9,19mai sigur0,90–4,551,49–5,462,40–10,01
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,76 0,79–2,73 0,54–2,98 | 1,19 0,34–2,04 0,11–2,27 | 2,95 1,13–4,77 0,65–5,25 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,36 3,50–7,22 3,01–7,71 | 3,94 2,19–5,68 1,73–6,15 | 9,30 5,69–12,90 4,74–13,86 | 62% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 15,55 11,63–19,48 10,54–20,57 | 11,37 7,80–14,93 6,85–15,89 | 26,92 19,43–34,41 17,38–36,46 | 76% 18% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,44 6,49–12,38 5,67–13,21 | 7,30 4,62–9,99 3,89–10,72 | 16,74 11,12–22,36 9,55–23,93 | 65% 26% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,31 2,43–6,19 1,89–6,74 | 3,38 1,72–5,03 1,23–5,52 | 7,69 4,15–11,22 3,12–12,26 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Cornere | 5,77 3,55–7,98 2,98–8,55 | 4,58 2,58–6,58 2,04–7,11 | 10,34 6,13–14,56 5,02–15,66 | 58% 30% |
| Posesie % | 56,25 49,46–63,04 47,79–64,71 | 44,87 38,08–51,65 36,41–53,32 | — | 73% 23% |
| Pase | 530 462–597 444–615 | 387 321–454 303–471 | 917 783–1051 748–1086 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,29 65,26–73,32 63,97–74,61 | 69,42 65,10–73,75 63,79–75,06 | — | 47% 48% |
| Faulturi | 11,79 8,95–14,63 8,19–15,38 | 11,31 8,36–14,25 7,62–15,00 | 23,10 17,32–28,88 15,81–30,38 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,02 0,86–3,18 0,56–3,48 | 1,70 0,61–2,80 0,32–3,09 | 3,73 1,47–5,98 0,88–6,57 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,78 0,73–2,83 0,46–3,10 | 1,98 0,85–3,11 0,56–3,40 | 3,76 1,58–5,93 1,02–6,49 | 35% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,73 1,29–4,16 0,90–4,55 | 3,47 1,92–5,03 1,49–5,46 | 6,20 3,21–9,19 2,40–10,01 | 31% 16% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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