Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 18·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
66%
20%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,070,832,90sigur1,10–3,040,00–1,691,08–4,72mai sigur0,85–3,290,00–1,920,60–5,20
Șuturi pe poartă
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,273,139,40sigur4,41–8,141,39–4,875,80–13,01mai sigur3,92–8,630,92–5,344,84–13,96
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,529,4126,93sigur13,60–21,455,85–12,9719,44–34,42mai sigur12,51–22,544,89–13,9317,39–36,47
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,705,6617,36sigur8,76–14,642,98–8,3411,73–22,98mai sigur7,93–15,472,24–9,0710,17–24,55
Șuturi blocate
65%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,643,067,69sigur2,76–6,521,40–4,714,16–11,23mai sigur2,21–7,060,91–5,203,12–12,27
Cornere
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,533,469,99sigur4,31–8,741,46–5,475,78–14,20mai sigur3,74–9,310,93–6,004,67–15,31
Posesie %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,0146,02sigur47,22–60,8039,23–52,80mai sigur45,55–62,4737,56–54,48
Pase
72%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție523451974sigur455–590385–518840–1107mai sigur437–608367–535804–1143
Precizie pase %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,8869,45sigur63,85–71,9165,13–73,78mai sigur62,56–73,2063,82–75,09
Faulturi
49%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3810,9422,32sigur8,54–14,218,00–13,8916,54–28,10mai sigur7,78–14,977,25–14,6415,03–29,61
Ofsaiduri
46%
23%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,821,463,29sigur0,66–2,990,37–2,561,03–5,54mai sigur0,36–3,290,08–2,840,45–6,13
Cartonașe galbene
29%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,482,003,48sigur0,43–2,530,87–3,131,30–5,66mai sigur0,16–2,790,58–3,420,74–6,22
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,140,19sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,320,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,460,00–0,82
Parade portar
16%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,244,186,42sigur0,80–3,682,62–5,733,43–9,41mai sigur0,42–4,062,20–6,162,61–10,22
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,07 1,10–3,04 0,85–3,29 | 0,83 0,00–1,69 0,00–1,92 | 2,90 1,08–4,72 0,60–5,20 | 66% 20% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,27 4,41–8,14 3,92–8,63 | 3,13 1,39–4,87 0,92–5,34 | 9,40 5,80–13,01 4,84–13,96 | 81% |
| Total șuturi | 17,52 13,60–21,45 12,51–22,54 | 9,41 5,85–12,97 4,89–13,93 | 26,93 19,44–34,42 17,39–36,47 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,70 8,76–14,64 7,93–15,47 | 5,66 2,98–8,34 2,24–9,07 | 17,36 11,73–22,98 10,17–24,55 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,64 2,76–6,52 2,21–7,06 | 3,06 1,40–4,71 0,91–5,20 | 7,69 4,16–11,23 3,12–12,27 | 65% 22% |
| Cornere | 6,53 4,31–8,74 3,74–9,31 | 3,46 1,46–5,47 0,93–6,00 | 9,99 5,78–14,20 4,67–15,31 | 79% |
| Posesie % | 54,01 47,22–60,80 45,55–62,47 | 46,02 39,23–52,80 37,56–54,48 | — | 66% 30% |
| Pase | 523 455–590 437–608 | 451 385–518 367–535 | 974 840–1107 804–1143 | 72% 27% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,88 63,85–71,91 62,56–73,20 | 69,45 65,13–73,78 63,82–75,09 | — | 39% 56% |
| Faulturi | 11,38 8,54–14,21 7,78–14,97 | 10,94 8,00–13,89 7,25–14,64 | 22,32 16,54–28,10 15,03–29,61 | 49% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,82 0,66–2,99 0,36–3,29 | 1,46 0,37–2,56 0,08–2,84 | 3,29 1,03–5,54 0,45–6,13 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,48 0,43–2,53 0,16–2,79 | 2,00 0,87–3,13 0,58–3,42 | 3,48 1,30–5,66 0,74–6,22 | 29% 22% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,14 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,46 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,24 0,80–3,68 0,42–4,06 | 4,18 2,62–5,73 2,20–6,16 | 6,42 3,43–9,41 2,61–10,22 | 16% 71% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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