Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 19·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
26%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,311,422,73sigur0,34–2,280,57–2,280,91–4,55mai sigur0,09–2,530,34–2,500,43–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,514,158,66sigur2,65–6,372,41–5,895,06–12,27mai sigur2,16–6,861,94–6,364,10–13,22
Total șuturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5811,2824,86sigur9,65–17,507,72–14,8417,37–32,35mai sigur8,56–18,596,76–15,8015,32–34,40
Șuturi din careu
56%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,037,8616,89sigur6,09–11,975,17–10,5411,26–22,51mai sigur5,26–12,804,44–11,279,70–24,08
Șuturi blocate
52%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,943,297,23sigur2,06–5,821,64–4,953,70–10,77mai sigur1,51–6,371,15–5,442,66–11,80
Cornere
51%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,374,7910,16sigur3,16–7,582,79–6,795,95–14,38mai sigur2,58–8,162,26–7,334,84–15,49
Posesie %
25%
71%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,8155,33sigur38,02–51,6048,55–62,12mai sigur36,35–53,2746,88–63,79
Pase
21%
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție383479862sigur316–450413–546728–996mai sigur297–468395–563693–1031
Precizie pase %
17%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,0168,98sigur57,98–66,0464,66–73,31mai sigur56,68–67,3363,35–74,62
Faulturi
65%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0310,7023,73sigur10,19–15,877,75–13,6417,95–29,51mai sigur9,44–16,637,00–14,3916,44–31,02
Ofsaiduri
44%
23%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,801,523,32sigur0,64–2,960,43–2,621,07–5,58mai sigur0,34–3,260,14–2,900,48–6,17
Cartonașe galbene
40%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,723,51sigur0,73–2,830,60–2,851,33–5,68mai sigur0,47–3,100,30–3,140,77–6,24
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
35%
17%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,723,125,85sigur1,29–4,161,57–4,682,85–8,84mai sigur0,90–4,551,14–5,102,04–9,65
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,31 0,34–2,28 0,09–2,53 | 1,42 0,57–2,28 0,34–2,50 | 2,73 0,91–4,55 0,43–5,03 | 35% 26% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,51 2,65–6,37 2,16–6,86 | 4,15 2,41–5,89 1,94–6,36 | 8,66 5,06–12,27 4,10–13,22 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 13,58 9,65–17,50 8,56–18,59 | 11,28 7,72–14,84 6,76–15,80 | 24,86 17,37–32,35 15,32–34,40 | 64% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,03 6,09–11,97 5,26–12,80 | 7,86 5,17–10,54 4,44–11,27 | 16,89 11,26–22,51 9,70–24,08 | 56% 34% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,94 2,06–5,82 1,51–6,37 | 3,29 1,64–4,95 1,15–5,44 | 7,23 3,70–10,77 2,66–11,80 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Cornere | 5,37 3,16–7,58 2,58–8,16 | 4,79 2,79–6,79 2,26–7,33 | 10,16 5,95–14,38 4,84–15,49 | 51% 37% |
| Posesie % | 44,81 38,02–51,60 36,35–53,27 | 55,33 48,55–62,12 46,88–63,79 | — | 25% 71% |
| Pase | 383 316–450 297–468 | 479 413–546 395–563 | 862 728–996 693–1031 | 21% 79% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,01 57,98–66,04 56,68–67,33 | 68,98 64,66–73,31 63,35–74,62 | — | 17% 80% |
| Faulturi | 13,03 10,19–15,87 9,44–16,63 | 10,70 7,75–13,64 7,00–14,39 | 23,73 17,95–29,51 16,44–31,02 | 65% 28% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,80 0,64–2,96 0,34–3,26 | 1,52 0,43–2,62 0,14–2,90 | 3,32 1,07–5,58 0,48–6,17 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,78 0,73–2,83 0,47–3,10 | 1,72 0,60–2,85 0,30–3,14 | 3,51 1,33–5,68 0,77–6,24 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,72 1,29–4,16 0,90–4,55 | 3,12 1,57–4,68 1,14–5,10 | 5,85 2,85–8,84 2,04–9,65 | 35% 17% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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