Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 19·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
24%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,602,93sigur0,36–2,300,75–2,461,11–4,76mai sigur0,11–2,550,52–2,680,63–5,24
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
13%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,804,699,49sigur2,94–6,662,95–6,435,88–13,09mai sigur2,45–7,152,48–6,904,93–14,05
Total șuturi
59%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,6712,9427,61sigur10,75–18,609,38–16,5120,13–35,10mai sigur9,65–19,698,42–17,4718,08–37,15
Șuturi din careu
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,719,1917,89sigur5,76–11,656,51–11,8712,27–23,52mai sigur4,93–12,485,77–12,6010,70–25,08
Șuturi blocate
51%
14%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,373,798,16sigur2,48–6,252,14–5,444,62–11,69mai sigur1,94–6,791,64–5,943,59–12,73
Cornere
52%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,414,7410,15sigur3,20–7,632,74–6,745,94–14,37mai sigur2,63–8,202,21–7,274,83–15,47
Posesie %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,8952,49sigur41,10–54,6845,70–59,27mai sigur39,43–56,3544,03–60,95
Pase
37%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție445484930sigur378–513418–551796–1063mai sigur360–531400–568760–1099
Precizie pase %
18%
79%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,1472,85sigur62,11–70,1768,53–77,17mai sigur60,82–71,4667,22–78,48
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6411,3521,99sigur7,80–13,488,41–14,3016,21–27,77mai sigur7,05–14,237,66–15,0414,70–29,28
Ofsaiduri
40%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,643,32sigur0,52–2,840,54–2,731,07–5,57mai sigur0,22–3,140,25–3,020,48–6,16
Cartonașe galbene
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,913,48sigur0,53–2,620,78–3,031,30–5,66mai sigur0,26–2,890,48–3,330,74–6,22
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,260,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
36%
16%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,943,316,25sigur1,50–4,381,76–4,873,26–9,24mai sigur1,12–4,761,33–5,292,45–10,06
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,33 0,36–2,30 0,11–2,55 | 1,60 0,75–2,46 0,52–2,68 | 2,93 1,11–4,76 0,63–5,24 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,80 2,94–6,66 2,45–7,15 | 4,69 2,95–6,43 2,48–6,90 | 9,49 5,88–13,09 4,93–14,05 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 14,67 10,75–18,60 9,65–19,69 | 12,94 9,38–16,51 8,42–17,47 | 27,61 20,13–35,10 18,08–37,15 | 59% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,71 5,76–11,65 4,93–12,48 | 9,19 6,51–11,87 5,77–12,60 | 17,89 12,27–23,52 10,70–25,08 | 41% 50% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,37 2,48–6,25 1,94–6,79 | 3,79 2,14–5,44 1,64–5,94 | 8,16 4,62–11,69 3,59–12,73 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,41 3,20–7,63 2,63–8,20 | 4,74 2,74–6,74 2,21–7,27 | 10,15 5,94–14,37 4,83–15,47 | 52% 35% |
| Posesie % | 47,89 41,10–54,68 39,43–56,35 | 52,49 45,70–59,27 44,03–60,95 | — | 37% 58% |
| Pase | 445 378–513 360–531 | 484 418–551 400–568 | 930 796–1063 760–1099 | 37% 63% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,14 62,11–70,17 60,82–71,46 | 72,85 68,53–77,17 67,22–78,48 | — | 18% 79% |
| Faulturi | 10,64 7,80–13,48 7,05–14,23 | 11,35 8,41–14,30 7,66–15,04 | 21,99 16,21–27,77 14,70–29,28 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,68 0,52–2,84 0,22–3,14 | 1,64 0,54–2,73 0,25–3,02 | 3,32 1,07–5,57 0,48–6,16 | 40% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,58 0,53–2,62 0,26–2,89 | 1,91 0,78–3,03 0,48–3,33 | 3,48 1,30–5,66 0,74–6,22 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,94 1,50–4,38 1,12–4,76 | 3,31 1,76–4,87 1,33–5,29 | 6,25 3,26–9,24 2,45–10,06 | 36% 16% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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