Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 20·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
23%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,293,10sigur0,85–2,780,43–2,141,28–4,92mai sigur0,60–3,030,20–2,370,80–5,40
Șuturi pe poartă
54%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,404,549,94sigur3,54–7,262,80–6,286,33–13,54mai sigur3,05–7,752,33–6,755,38–14,50
Total șuturi
69%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,6312,5028,12sigur11,70–19,558,93–16,0620,64–35,61mai sigur10,61–20,647,98–17,0218,59–37,66
Șuturi din careu
63%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,228,3118,53sigur7,28–13,175,62–10,9912,91–24,15mai sigur6,45–13,994,89–11,7211,34–25,72
Șuturi blocate
47%
14%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,273,958,22sigur2,39–6,152,30–5,614,69–11,76mai sigur1,84–6,691,81–6,103,65–12,79
Cornere
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,564,439,99sigur3,35–7,782,43–6,435,78–14,21mai sigur2,78–8,351,90–6,964,67–15,31
Posesie %
64%
31%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,0646,86sigur47,27–60,8540,08–53,65mai sigur45,60–62,5238,40–55,32
Pase
76%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție493409902sigur426–560342–475768–1036mai sigur408–579325–493733–1071
Precizie pase %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,4370,54sigur66,40–74,4666,22–74,86mai sigur65,11–75,7564,91–76,17
Faulturi
32%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3813,2224,60sigur8,54–14,2210,27–16,1618,82–30,38mai sigur7,79–14,979,53–16,9117,31–31,89
Ofsaiduri
38%
23%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,703,36sigur0,50–2,820,61–2,801,11–5,62mai sigur0,20–3,120,32–3,090,52–6,21
Cartonașe galbene
31%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,411,783,19sigur0,36–2,460,65–2,911,01–5,36mai sigur0,09–2,720,36–3,200,45–5,92
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,080,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,270,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,283,186,46sigur1,84–4,711,63–4,743,47–9,45mai sigur1,45–5,101,20–5,162,66–10,27
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,81 0,85–2,78 0,60–3,03 | 1,29 0,43–2,14 0,20–2,37 | 3,10 1,28–4,92 0,80–5,40 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,40 3,54–7,26 3,05–7,75 | 4,54 2,80–6,28 2,33–6,75 | 9,94 6,33–13,54 5,38–14,50 | 54% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 15,63 11,70–19,55 10,61–20,64 | 12,50 8,93–16,06 7,98–17,02 | 28,12 20,64–35,61 18,59–37,66 | 69% 25% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,22 7,28–13,17 6,45–13,99 | 8,31 5,62–10,99 4,89–11,72 | 18,53 12,91–24,15 11,34–25,72 | 63% 29% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,27 2,39–6,15 1,84–6,69 | 3,95 2,30–5,61 1,81–6,10 | 8,22 4,69–11,76 3,65–12,79 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Cornere | 5,56 3,35–7,78 2,78–8,35 | 4,43 2,43–6,43 1,90–6,96 | 9,99 5,78–14,21 4,67–15,31 | 58% 30% |
| Posesie % | 54,06 47,27–60,85 45,60–62,52 | 46,86 40,08–53,65 38,40–55,32 | — | 64% 31% |
| Pase | 493 426–560 408–579 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 902 768–1036 733–1071 | 76% 24% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,43 66,40–74,46 65,11–75,75 | 70,54 66,22–74,86 64,91–76,17 | — | 47% 48% |
| Faulturi | 11,38 8,54–14,22 7,79–14,97 | 13,22 10,27–16,16 9,53–16,91 | 24,60 18,82–30,38 17,31–31,89 | 32% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,66 0,50–2,82 0,20–3,12 | 1,70 0,61–2,80 0,32–3,09 | 3,36 1,11–5,62 0,52–6,21 | 38% 23% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,41 0,36–2,46 0,09–2,72 | 1,78 0,65–2,91 0,36–3,20 | 3,19 1,01–5,36 0,45–5,92 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 3,28 1,84–4,71 1,45–5,10 | 3,18 1,63–4,74 1,20–5,16 | 6,46 3,47–9,45 2,66–10,27 | 43% 16% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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