Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 20·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
28%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,251,152,40sigur0,28–2,220,29–2,000,58–4,22mai sigur0,03–2,470,06–2,230,10–4,70
Șuturi pe poartă
51%
14%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,243,657,89sigur2,38–6,101,91–5,394,28–11,49mai sigur1,89–6,591,44–5,863,33–12,45
Total șuturi
59%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1511,5724,71sigur9,22–17,078,00–15,1317,23–32,20mai sigur8,13–18,167,05–16,0915,18–34,25
Șuturi din careu
61%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,867,2716,13sigur5,92–11,804,59–9,9510,51–21,76mai sigur5,09–12,633,85–10,698,94–23,32
Șuturi blocate
52%
16%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,492,846,33sigur1,61–5,381,19–4,492,80–9,87mai sigur1,07–5,920,70–4,991,76–10,91
Cornere
57%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,554,5010,05sigur3,33–7,762,50–6,505,83–14,26mai sigur2,76–8,331,97–7,034,73–15,37
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,3745,44sigur48,58–62,1638,65–52,22mai sigur46,91–63,8336,98–53,89
Pase
76%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție475390866sigur408–543324–457732–999mai sigur390–561306–474696–1035
Precizie pase %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,7465,33sigur59,71–67,7761,00–69,65mai sigur58,42–69,0659,70–70,96
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9213,6225,53sigur9,08–14,7510,67–16,5619,75–31,31mai sigur8,32–15,519,92–17,3118,24–32,82
Ofsaiduri
49%
20%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,321,874,18sigur1,16–3,480,77–2,961,93–6,44mai sigur0,86–3,780,49–3,251,34–7,03
Cartonașe galbene
37%
20%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,982,154,13sigur0,93–3,031,02–3,281,95–6,31mai sigur0,66–3,290,73–3,571,39–6,86
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,130,21sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,320,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,450,00–0,84
Parade portar
36%
17%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,662,985,64sigur1,22–4,091,43–4,542,65–8,63mai sigur0,83–4,481,00–4,961,84–9,44
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,25 0,28–2,22 0,03–2,47 | 1,15 0,29–2,00 0,06–2,23 | 2,40 0,58–4,22 0,10–4,70 | 39% 28% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,24 2,38–6,10 1,89–6,59 | 3,65 1,91–5,39 1,44–5,86 | 7,89 4,28–11,49 3,33–12,45 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total șuturi | 13,15 9,22–17,07 8,13–18,16 | 11,57 8,00–15,13 7,05–16,09 | 24,71 17,23–32,20 15,18–34,25 | 59% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,86 5,92–11,80 5,09–12,63 | 7,27 4,59–9,95 3,85–10,69 | 16,13 10,51–21,76 8,94–23,32 | 61% 30% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,49 1,61–5,38 1,07–5,92 | 2,84 1,19–4,49 0,70–4,99 | 6,33 2,80–9,87 1,76–10,91 | 52% 16% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,55 3,33–7,76 2,76–8,33 | 4,50 2,50–6,50 1,97–7,03 | 10,05 5,83–14,26 4,73–15,37 | 57% 31% |
| Posesie % | 55,37 48,58–62,16 46,91–63,83 | 45,44 38,65–52,22 36,98–53,89 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 475 408–543 390–561 | 390 324–457 306–474 | 866 732–999 696–1035 | 76% 24% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,74 59,71–67,77 58,42–69,06 | 65,33 61,00–69,65 59,70–70,96 | — | 39% 56% |
| Faulturi | 11,92 9,08–14,75 8,32–15,51 | 13,62 10,67–16,56 9,92–17,31 | 25,53 19,75–31,31 18,24–32,82 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,32 1,16–3,48 0,86–3,78 | 1,87 0,77–2,96 0,49–3,25 | 4,18 1,93–6,44 1,34–7,03 | 49% 20% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,98 0,93–3,03 0,66–3,29 | 2,15 1,02–3,28 0,73–3,57 | 4,13 1,95–6,31 1,39–6,86 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,66 1,22–4,09 0,83–4,48 | 2,98 1,43–4,54 1,00–4,96 | 5,64 2,65–8,63 1,84–9,44 | 36% 17% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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