Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 21·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
25%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,432,83sigur0,44–2,370,57–2,281,01–4,66mai sigur0,18–2,620,35–2,510,53–5,14
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
13%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,534,789,31sigur2,67–6,393,04–6,525,70–12,91mai sigur2,18–6,882,57–6,994,75–13,87
Total șuturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1713,5526,72sigur9,25–17,109,99–17,1119,24–34,21mai sigur8,16–18,199,03–18,0717,18–36,26
Șuturi din careu
43%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,548,7417,28sigur5,60–11,496,06–11,4211,66–22,90mai sigur4,77–12,325,32–12,1610,09–24,47
Șuturi blocate
40%
15%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,673,887,55sigur1,79–5,552,22–5,534,01–11,08mai sigur1,24–6,091,73–6,022,97–12,12
Cornere
48%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,204,8910,09sigur2,99–7,422,89–6,895,88–14,30mai sigur2,42–7,992,35–7,424,77–15,41
Posesie %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,9651,33sigur43,17–56,7544,55–58,12mai sigur41,50–58,4242,88–59,79
Pase
61%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție454421875sigur387–521355–488742–1009mai sigur369–539337–505706–1045
Precizie pase %
23%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,3270,42sigur61,29–69,3566,10–74,75mai sigur60,00–70,6464,79–76,06
Faulturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1212,5723,69sigur8,29–13,969,62–15,5117,91–29,47mai sigur7,53–14,728,88–16,2616,41–30,98
Ofsaiduri
44%
21%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,081,843,91sigur0,92–3,240,74–2,931,66–6,16mai sigur0,61–3,540,45–3,221,07–6,75
Cartonașe galbene
39%
22%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,791,803,58sigur0,74–2,830,67–2,931,41–5,76mai sigur0,47–3,100,38–3,220,85–6,32
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
43%
17%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,012,935,93sigur1,57–4,441,37–4,482,94–8,92mai sigur1,18–4,830,94–4,912,13–9,74
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,40 0,44–2,37 0,18–2,62 | 1,43 0,57–2,28 0,35–2,51 | 2,83 1,01–4,66 0,53–5,14 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,53 2,67–6,39 2,18–6,88 | 4,78 3,04–6,52 2,57–6,99 | 9,31 5,70–12,91 4,75–13,87 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total șuturi | 13,17 9,25–17,10 8,16–18,19 | 13,55 9,99–17,11 9,03–18,07 | 26,72 19,24–34,21 17,18–36,26 | 43% 49% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,54 5,60–11,49 4,77–12,32 | 8,74 6,06–11,42 5,32–12,16 | 17,28 11,66–22,90 10,09–24,47 | 43% 47% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,67 1,79–5,55 1,24–6,09 | 3,88 2,22–5,53 1,73–6,02 | 7,55 4,01–11,08 2,97–12,12 | 40% 15% 46% |
| Cornere | 5,20 2,99–7,42 2,42–7,99 | 4,89 2,89–6,89 2,35–7,42 | 10,09 5,88–14,30 4,77–15,41 | 48% 40% |
| Posesie % | 49,96 43,17–56,75 41,50–58,42 | 51,33 44,55–58,12 42,88–59,79 | — | 44% 51% |
| Pase | 454 387–521 369–539 | 421 355–488 337–505 | 875 742–1009 706–1045 | 61% 39% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,32 61,29–69,35 60,00–70,64 | 70,42 66,10–74,75 64,79–76,06 | — | 23% 72% |
| Faulturi | 11,12 8,29–13,96 7,53–14,72 | 12,57 9,62–15,51 8,88–16,26 | 23,69 17,91–29,47 16,41–30,98 | 34% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,08 0,92–3,24 0,61–3,54 | 1,84 0,74–2,93 0,45–3,22 | 3,91 1,66–6,16 1,07–6,75 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,79 0,74–2,83 0,47–3,10 | 1,80 0,67–2,93 0,38–3,22 | 3,58 1,41–5,76 0,85–6,32 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,01 1,57–4,44 1,18–4,83 | 2,93 1,37–4,48 0,94–4,91 | 5,93 2,94–8,92 2,13–9,74 | 43% 17% 40% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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