Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 22·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
71%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,400,873,27sigur1,43–3,370,01–1,721,45–5,09mai sigur1,18–3,620,00–1,950,97–5,57
Șuturi pe poartă
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,913,3010,21sigur5,05–8,771,56–5,046,61–13,82mai sigur4,56–9,261,09–5,515,65–14,77
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,0510,1829,23sigur15,13–22,986,62–13,7421,75–36,72mai sigur14,04–24,075,66–14,7019,69–38,77
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,506,7020,20sigur10,56–16,444,02–9,3814,58–25,82mai sigur9,73–17,273,28–10,1213,01–27,39
Șuturi blocate
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,882,808,67sigur3,99–7,761,14–4,455,14–12,21mai sigur3,45–8,300,65–4,944,10–13,24
Cornere
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,453,4310,88sigur5,24–9,671,43–5,436,67–15,10mai sigur4,67–10,240,90–5,965,56–16,21
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,8240,22sigur54,03–67,6133,44–47,01mai sigur52,36–69,2831,77–48,68
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție606375981sigur539–673309–442847–1115mai sigur520–691291–459812–1150
Precizie pase %
77%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,4871,14sigur73,45–81,5166,81–75,46mai sigur72,16–82,8065,50–76,77
Faulturi
44%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3610,5720,93sigur7,52–13,207,63–13,5215,15–26,71mai sigur6,76–13,956,88–14,2713,64–28,22
Ofsaiduri
44%
21%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,981,733,72sigur0,82–3,140,64–2,831,46–5,97mai sigur0,52–3,450,35–3,110,87–6,56
Cartonașe galbene
30%
24%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,662,98sigur0,27–2,360,53–2,790,80–5,16mai sigur0,00–2,630,24–3,080,24–5,71
Cartonașe roșii
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,080,12sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,270,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,400,00–0,75
Parade portar
17%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,214,026,23sigur0,77–3,642,46–5,583,23–9,22mai sigur0,38–4,032,04–6,002,42–10,03
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,40 1,43–3,37 1,18–3,62 | 0,87 0,01–1,72 0,00–1,95 | 3,27 1,45–5,09 0,97–5,57 | 71% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,91 5,05–8,77 4,56–9,26 | 3,30 1,56–5,04 1,09–5,51 | 10,21 6,61–13,82 5,65–14,77 | 84% |
| Total șuturi | 19,05 15,13–22,98 14,04–24,07 | 10,18 6,62–13,74 5,66–14,70 | 29,23 21,75–36,72 19,69–38,77 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,50 10,56–16,44 9,73–17,27 | 6,70 4,02–9,38 3,28–10,12 | 20,20 14,58–25,82 13,01–27,39 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,88 3,99–7,76 3,45–8,30 | 2,80 1,14–4,45 0,65–4,94 | 8,67 5,14–12,21 4,10–13,24 | 81% |
| Cornere | 7,45 5,24–9,67 4,67–10,24 | 3,43 1,43–5,43 0,90–5,96 | 10,88 6,67–15,10 5,56–16,21 | 86% |
| Posesie % | 60,82 54,03–67,61 52,36–69,28 | 40,22 33,44–47,01 31,77–48,68 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 606 539–673 520–691 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 981 847–1115 812–1150 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,48 73,45–81,51 72,16–82,80 | 71,14 66,81–75,46 65,50–76,77 | — | 77% 19% |
| Faulturi | 10,36 7,52–13,20 6,76–13,95 | 10,57 7,63–13,52 6,88–14,27 | 20,93 15,15–26,71 13,64–28,22 | 44% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,98 0,82–3,14 0,52–3,45 | 1,73 0,64–2,83 0,35–3,11 | 3,72 1,46–5,97 0,87–6,56 | 44% 21% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,32 0,27–2,36 0,00–2,63 | 1,66 0,53–2,79 0,24–3,08 | 2,98 0,80–5,16 0,24–5,71 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,12 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,75 | 89% |
| Parade portar | 2,21 0,77–3,64 0,38–4,03 | 4,02 2,46–5,58 2,04–6,00 | 6,23 3,23–9,22 2,42–10,03 | 17% 70% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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