Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 22·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
27%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,062,49sigur0,46–2,400,21–1,920,67–4,31mai sigur0,21–2,650,00–2,140,19–4,79
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
14%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,443,447,89sigur2,58–6,311,70–5,194,28–11,49mai sigur2,09–6,801,24–5,653,33–12,45
Total șuturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5110,4623,97sigur9,59–17,446,90–14,0216,48–31,46mai sigur8,50–18,535,94–14,9814,43–33,51
Șuturi din careu
75%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,826,6216,44sigur6,88–12,763,94–9,3010,81–22,06mai sigur6,05–13,593,20–10,049,25–23,63
Șuturi blocate
43%
15%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,923,897,81sigur2,04–5,812,23–5,544,27–11,35mai sigur1,50–6,351,74–6,033,24–12,38
Cornere
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,604,199,79sigur3,39–7,822,19–6,195,58–14,00mai sigur2,82–8,391,65–6,724,47–15,11
Posesie %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,6253,10sigur40,83–54,4146,31–59,88mai sigur39,16–56,0844,64–61,55
Pase
35%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție442486928sigur375–509420–553795–1062mai sigur356–527403–570759–1098
Precizie pase %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,3071,69sigur61,27–69,3367,37–76,02mai sigur59,98–70,6366,06–77,33
Faulturi
50%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3511,8024,16sigur9,52–15,198,86–14,7518,38–29,94mai sigur8,76–15,958,11–15,5016,87–31,44
Ofsaiduri
50%
22%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,911,393,30sigur0,75–3,070,30–2,491,05–5,56mai sigur0,45–3,370,01–2,780,46–6,15
Cartonașe galbene
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,883,42sigur0,49–2,590,75–3,011,24–5,60mai sigur0,23–2,860,46–3,300,69–6,16
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
34%
17%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,593,035,62sigur1,15–4,031,47–4,592,63–8,61mai sigur0,77–4,411,05–5,011,81–9,42
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,43 0,46–2,40 0,21–2,65 | 1,06 0,21–1,92 0,00–2,14 | 2,49 0,67–4,31 0,19–4,79 | 45% 27% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,44 2,58–6,31 2,09–6,80 | 3,44 1,70–5,19 1,24–5,65 | 7,89 4,28–11,49 3,33–12,45 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 13,51 9,59–17,44 8,50–18,53 | 10,46 6,90–14,02 5,94–14,98 | 23,97 16,48–31,46 14,43–33,51 | 70% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,82 6,88–12,76 6,05–13,59 | 6,62 3,94–9,30 3,20–10,04 | 16,44 10,81–22,06 9,25–23,63 | 75% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,92 2,04–5,81 1,50–6,35 | 3,89 2,23–5,54 1,74–6,03 | 7,81 4,27–11,35 3,24–12,38 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Cornere | 5,60 3,39–7,82 2,82–8,39 | 4,19 2,19–6,19 1,65–6,72 | 9,79 5,58–14,00 4,47–15,11 | 61% 27% |
| Posesie % | 47,62 40,83–54,41 39,16–56,08 | 53,10 46,31–59,88 44,64–61,55 | — | 35% 60% |
| Pase | 442 375–509 356–527 | 486 420–553 403–570 | 928 795–1062 759–1098 | 35% 64% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,30 61,27–69,33 59,98–70,63 | 71,69 67,37–76,02 66,06–77,33 | — | 19% 78% |
| Faulturi | 12,35 9,52–15,19 8,76–15,95 | 11,80 8,86–14,75 8,11–15,50 | 24,16 18,38–29,94 16,87–31,44 | 50% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,91 0,75–3,07 0,45–3,37 | 1,39 0,30–2,49 0,01–2,78 | 3,30 1,05–5,56 0,46–6,15 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,59 0,23–2,86 | 1,88 0,75–3,01 0,46–3,30 | 3,42 1,24–5,60 0,69–6,16 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,59 1,15–4,03 0,77–4,41 | 3,03 1,47–4,59 1,05–5,01 | 5,62 2,63–8,61 1,81–9,42 | 34% 17% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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