Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 22·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
25%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,411,502,91sigur0,44–2,370,65–2,361,09–4,73mai sigur0,19–2,630,42–2,590,61–5,21
Șuturi pe poartă
46%
13%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,614,419,01sigur2,75–6,472,66–6,155,41–12,62mai sigur2,26–6,962,20–6,614,45–13,57
Total șuturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1012,5925,69sigur9,17–17,029,03–16,1618,20–33,18mai sigur8,08–18,118,07–17,1216,15–35,23
Șuturi din careu
41%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,428,8417,26sigur5,48–11,366,16–11,5211,64–22,88mai sigur4,65–12,195,42–12,2610,07–24,45
Șuturi blocate
36%
16%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,113,516,62sigur1,23–5,001,85–5,163,09–10,16mai sigur0,69–5,541,36–5,652,05–11,19
Cornere
41%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,805,029,82sigur2,59–7,013,02–7,025,61–14,04mai sigur2,01–7,592,49–7,564,50–15,14
Posesie %
28%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,8754,48sigur39,08–52,6647,70–61,27mai sigur37,41–54,3346,03–62,94
Pase
27%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție407478885sigur339–474412–545751–1019mai sigur321–492394–562716–1054
Precizie pase %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,2273,06sigur59,19–67,2568,73–77,38mai sigur57,90–68,5567,42–78,69
Faulturi
24%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3314,4325,75sigur8,49–14,1611,48–17,3719,97–31,53mai sigur7,73–14,9210,73–18,1218,47–33,04
Ofsaiduri
67%
14%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,702,145,84sigur2,54–4,861,04–3,233,59–8,09mai sigur2,24–5,160,76–3,523,00–8,68
Cartonașe galbene
27%
19%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,792,554,34sigur0,74–2,841,42–3,682,16–6,52mai sigur0,48–3,111,13–3,971,61–7,08
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,120,22sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,310,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,440,00–0,85
Parade portar
36%
17%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,793,125,91sigur1,36–4,231,56–4,672,92–8,90mai sigur0,97–4,621,14–5,102,11–9,72
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,41 0,44–2,37 0,19–2,63 | 1,50 0,65–2,36 0,42–2,59 | 2,91 1,09–4,73 0,61–5,21 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,61 2,75–6,47 2,26–6,96 | 4,41 2,66–6,15 2,20–6,61 | 9,01 5,41–12,62 4,45–13,57 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 13,10 9,17–17,02 8,08–18,11 | 12,59 9,03–16,16 8,07–17,12 | 25,69 18,20–33,18 16,15–35,23 | 50% 42% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,42 5,48–11,36 4,65–12,19 | 8,84 6,16–11,52 5,42–12,26 | 17,26 11,64–22,88 10,07–24,45 | 41% 49% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,11 1,23–5,00 0,69–5,54 | 3,51 1,85–5,16 1,36–5,65 | 6,62 3,09–10,16 2,05–11,19 | 36% 16% 48% |
| Cornere | 4,80 2,59–7,01 2,01–7,59 | 5,02 3,02–7,02 2,49–7,56 | 9,82 5,61–14,04 4,50–15,14 | 41% 46% |
| Posesie % | 45,87 39,08–52,66 37,41–54,33 | 54,48 47,70–61,27 46,03–62,94 | — | 28% 67% |
| Pase | 407 339–474 321–492 | 478 412–545 394–562 | 885 751–1019 716–1054 | 27% 72% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,22 59,19–67,25 57,90–68,55 | 73,06 68,73–77,38 67,42–78,69 | — | 89% |
| Faulturi | 11,33 8,49–14,16 7,73–14,92 | 14,43 11,48–17,37 10,73–18,12 | 25,75 19,97–31,53 18,47–33,04 | 24% 70% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,70 2,54–4,86 2,24–5,16 | 2,14 1,04–3,23 0,76–3,52 | 5,84 3,59–8,09 3,00–8,68 | 67% 14% 19% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,79 0,74–2,84 0,48–3,11 | 2,55 1,42–3,68 1,13–3,97 | 4,34 2,16–6,52 1,61–7,08 | 27% 19% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,22 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,79 1,36–4,23 0,97–4,62 | 3,12 1,56–4,67 1,14–5,10 | 5,91 2,92–8,90 2,11–9,72 | 36% 17% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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