Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
31%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,773,20sigur0,46–2,400,91–2,621,38–5,02mai sigur0,21–2,650,68–2,850,90–5,50
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,905,2210,12sigur3,04–6,763,48–6,966,52–13,73mai sigur2,55–7,253,01–7,435,56–14,68
Total șuturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5212,9227,44sigur10,59–18,449,36–16,4819,95–34,92mai sigur9,50–19,538,40–17,4417,90–36,97
Șuturi din careu
41%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,239,6718,89sigur6,29–12,176,98–12,3513,27–24,52mai sigur5,46–13,006,25–13,0811,70–26,08
Șuturi blocate
44%
15%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,873,767,63sigur1,99–5,752,11–5,414,10–11,17mai sigur1,45–6,301,62–5,913,06–12,20
Cornere
38%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,805,2210,02sigur2,58–7,013,22–7,225,81–14,24mai sigur2,01–7,592,69–7,764,70–15,34
Posesie %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,0753,84sigur40,28–53,8647,06–60,63mai sigur38,61–55,5345,39–62,30
Pase
31%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție434493927sigur367–501426–559793–1060mai sigur348–519409–577757–1096
Precizie pase %
18%
79%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,6076,22sigur65,57–73,6371,90–80,55mai sigur64,27–74,9270,59–81,85
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6411,1522,79sigur8,80–14,488,21–14,1017,01–28,57mai sigur8,05–15,237,46–14,8515,50–30,08
Ofsaiduri
17%
14%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,803,465,27sigur0,64–2,962,37–4,563,01–7,52mai sigur0,34–3,262,08–4,852,42–8,11
Cartonașe galbene
43%
21%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,031,843,87sigur0,98–3,080,71–2,971,69–6,04mai sigur0,71–3,340,42–3,261,13–6,60
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
41%
16%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,153,206,36sigur1,72–4,591,65–4,763,36–9,35mai sigur1,33–4,981,22–5,182,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,43 0,46–2,40 0,21–2,65 | 1,77 0,91–2,62 0,68–2,85 | 3,20 1,38–5,02 0,90–5,50 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,90 3,04–6,76 2,55–7,25 | 5,22 3,48–6,96 3,01–7,43 | 10,12 6,52–13,73 5,56–14,68 | 40% 48% |
| Total șuturi | 14,52 10,59–18,44 9,50–19,53 | 12,92 9,36–16,48 8,40–17,44 | 27,44 19,95–34,92 17,90–36,97 | 58% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,23 6,29–12,17 5,46–13,00 | 9,67 6,98–12,35 6,25–13,08 | 18,89 13,27–24,52 11,70–26,08 | 41% 49% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,87 1,99–5,75 1,45–6,30 | 3,76 2,11–5,41 1,62–5,91 | 7,63 4,10–11,17 3,06–12,20 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Cornere | 4,80 2,58–7,01 2,01–7,59 | 5,22 3,22–7,22 2,69–7,76 | 10,02 5,81–14,24 4,70–15,34 | 38% 49% |
| Posesie % | 47,07 40,28–53,86 38,61–55,53 | 53,84 47,06–60,63 45,39–62,30 | — | 32% 63% |
| Pase | 434 367–501 348–519 | 493 426–559 409–577 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 31% 69% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,60 65,57–73,63 64,27–74,92 | 76,22 71,90–80,55 70,59–81,85 | — | 18% 79% |
| Faulturi | 11,64 8,80–14,48 8,05–15,23 | 11,15 8,21–14,10 7,46–14,85 | 22,79 17,01–28,57 15,50–30,08 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,80 0,64–2,96 0,34–3,26 | 3,46 2,37–4,56 2,08–4,85 | 5,27 3,01–7,52 2,42–8,11 | 17% 14% 69% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,03 0,98–3,08 0,71–3,34 | 1,84 0,71–2,97 0,42–3,26 | 3,87 1,69–6,04 1,13–6,60 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,15 1,72–4,59 1,33–4,98 | 3,20 1,65–4,76 1,22–5,18 | 6,36 3,36–9,35 2,55–10,16 | 41% 16% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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