Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
25%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,472,82sigur0,38–2,320,61–2,320,99–4,64mai sigur0,13–2,570,39–2,550,51–5,12
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
13%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,504,809,30sigur2,64–6,363,06–6,545,69–12,90mai sigur2,15–6,852,59–7,014,74–13,86
Total șuturi
39%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2814,2927,57sigur9,36–17,2110,72–17,8520,08–35,06mai sigur8,27–18,309,76–18,8118,03–37,11
Șuturi din careu
37%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,229,1317,36sigur5,28–11,166,45–11,8111,73–22,98mai sigur4,45–11,995,72–12,5510,17–24,55
Șuturi blocate
42%
14%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,933,967,89sigur2,05–5,812,31–5,614,35–11,43mai sigur1,51–6,361,81–6,103,32–12,46
Cornere
37%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,985,5510,53sigur2,76–7,193,55–7,556,31–14,74mai sigur2,19–7,763,02–8,085,21–15,85
Posesie %
36%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,7752,68sigur40,98–54,5645,90–59,47mai sigur39,31–56,2344,22–61,14
Pase
46%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție414425839sigur346–481359–492705–973mai sigur328–499341–509669–1008
Precizie pase %
15%
82%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,6370,26sigur58,60–66,6665,93–74,58mai sigur57,30–67,9564,62–75,89
Faulturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,1611,0425,20sigur11,32–17,008,09–13,9819,42–30,98mai sigur10,57–17,757,34–14,7317,91–32,49
Ofsaiduri
43%
22%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,941,743,67sigur0,78–3,100,64–2,831,42–5,93mai sigur0,47–3,400,35–3,120,83–6,51
Cartonașe galbene
46%
21%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,131,803,94sigur1,08–3,180,67–2,931,76–6,11mai sigur0,82–3,450,38–3,221,20–6,67
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
48%
16%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,252,866,11sigur1,81–4,681,30–4,423,11–9,10mai sigur1,42–5,070,88–4,842,30–9,91
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,38–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 1,47 0,61–2,32 0,39–2,55 | 2,82 0,99–4,64 0,51–5,12 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,50 2,64–6,36 2,15–6,85 | 4,80 3,06–6,54 2,59–7,01 | 9,30 5,69–12,90 4,74–13,86 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total șuturi | 13,28 9,36–17,21 8,27–18,30 | 14,29 10,72–17,85 9,76–18,81 | 27,57 20,08–35,06 18,03–37,11 | 39% 54% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,22 5,28–11,16 4,45–11,99 | 9,13 6,45–11,81 5,72–12,55 | 17,36 11,73–22,98 10,17–24,55 | 37% 54% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,93 2,05–5,81 1,51–6,36 | 3,96 2,31–5,61 1,81–6,10 | 7,89 4,35–11,43 3,32–12,46 | 42% 14% 43% |
| Cornere | 4,98 2,76–7,19 2,19–7,76 | 5,55 3,55–7,55 3,02–8,08 | 10,53 6,31–14,74 5,21–15,85 | 37% 51% |
| Posesie % | 47,77 40,98–54,56 39,31–56,23 | 52,68 45,90–59,47 44,22–61,14 | — | 36% 59% |
| Pase | 414 346–481 328–499 | 425 359–492 341–509 | 839 705–973 669–1008 | 46% 54% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,63 58,60–66,66 57,30–67,95 | 70,26 65,93–74,58 64,62–75,89 | — | 15% 82% |
| Faulturi | 14,16 11,32–17,00 10,57–17,75 | 11,04 8,09–13,98 7,34–14,73 | 25,20 19,42–30,98 17,91–32,49 | 70% 23% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,94 0,78–3,10 0,47–3,40 | 1,74 0,64–2,83 0,35–3,12 | 3,67 1,42–5,93 0,83–6,51 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,13 1,08–3,18 0,82–3,45 | 1,80 0,67–2,93 0,38–3,22 | 3,94 1,76–6,11 1,20–6,67 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,25 1,81–4,68 1,42–5,07 | 2,86 1,30–4,42 0,88–4,84 | 6,11 3,11–9,10 2,30–9,91 | 48% 16% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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