Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
26%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,271,352,62sigur0,30–2,240,49–2,200,80–4,44mai sigur0,05–2,490,26–2,430,32–4,92
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,004,238,22sigur2,13–5,862,48–5,974,62–11,83mai sigur1,65–6,352,02–6,433,66–12,78
Total șuturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7512,4424,19sigur7,83–15,688,88–16,0016,71–31,68mai sigur6,73–16,777,92–16,9614,66–33,73
Șuturi din careu
37%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,718,5416,25sigur4,77–10,665,86–11,2210,63–21,88mai sigur3,94–11,495,12–11,969,06–23,44
Șuturi blocate
38%
16%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,093,366,44sigur1,20–4,971,71–5,012,91–9,98mai sigur0,66–5,511,21–5,501,87–11,01
Cornere
46%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,214,9910,20sigur2,99–7,422,99–6,995,98–14,41mai sigur2,42–7,992,46–7,524,88–15,52
Posesie %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,6753,96sigur39,88–53,4647,17–60,74mai sigur38,21–55,1345,50–62,41
Pase
30%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție394456850sigur327–462389–522717–984mai sigur309–480372–540681–1020
Precizie pase %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,5266,86sigur55,49–63,5562,54–71,19mai sigur54,20–64,8561,23–72,50
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8312,2825,11sigur9,99–15,669,34–15,2219,32–30,89mai sigur9,23–16,428,59–15,9717,82–32,39
Ofsaiduri
63%
18%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,601,404,00sigur1,44–3,760,30–2,491,74–6,25mai sigur1,14–4,060,02–2,781,15–6,84
Cartonașe galbene
36%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,902,104,00sigur0,85–2,950,97–3,231,82–6,18mai sigur0,58–3,220,68–3,521,26–6,73
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
38%
17%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,662,855,52sigur1,23–4,101,30–4,412,53–8,51mai sigur0,84–4,490,87–4,841,71–9,32
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,27 0,30–2,24 0,05–2,49 | 1,35 0,49–2,20 0,26–2,43 | 2,62 0,80–4,44 0,32–4,92 | 35% 26% 39% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,00 2,13–5,86 1,65–6,35 | 4,23 2,48–5,97 2,02–6,43 | 8,22 4,62–11,83 3,66–12,78 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 11,75 7,83–15,68 6,73–16,77 | 12,44 8,88–16,00 7,92–16,96 | 24,19 16,71–31,68 14,66–33,73 | 40% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,71 4,77–10,66 3,94–11,49 | 8,54 5,86–11,22 5,12–11,96 | 16,25 10,63–21,88 9,06–23,44 | 37% 53% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,09 1,20–4,97 0,66–5,51 | 3,36 1,71–5,01 1,21–5,50 | 6,44 2,91–9,98 1,87–11,01 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Cornere | 5,21 2,99–7,42 2,42–7,99 | 4,99 2,99–6,99 2,46–7,52 | 10,20 5,98–14,41 4,88–15,52 | 46% 41% |
| Posesie % | 46,67 39,88–53,46 38,21–55,13 | 53,96 47,17–60,74 45,50–62,41 | — | 31% 64% |
| Pase | 394 327–462 309–480 | 456 389–522 372–540 | 850 717–984 681–1020 | 30% 70% |
| Precizie pase % | 59,52 55,49–63,55 54,20–64,85 | 66,86 62,54–71,19 61,23–72,50 | — | 16% 81% |
| Faulturi | 12,83 9,99–15,66 9,23–16,42 | 12,28 9,34–15,22 8,59–15,97 | 25,11 19,32–30,89 17,82–32,39 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,60 1,44–3,76 1,14–4,06 | 1,40 0,30–2,49 0,02–2,78 | 4,00 1,74–6,25 1,15–6,84 | 63% 18% 19% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,90 0,85–2,95 0,58–3,22 | 2,10 0,97–3,23 0,68–3,52 | 4,00 1,82–6,18 1,26–6,73 | 36% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,66 1,23–4,10 0,84–4,49 | 2,85 1,30–4,41 0,87–4,84 | 5,52 2,53–8,51 1,71–9,32 | 38% 17% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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