Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 23·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
26%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,451,242,69sigur0,48–2,420,39–2,100,87–4,51mai sigur0,23–2,670,16–2,330,39–4,99
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
13%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,734,208,93sigur2,86–6,592,46–5,945,32–12,53mai sigur2,37–7,081,99–6,414,37–13,49
Total șuturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3313,2827,62sigur10,41–18,269,72–16,8520,13–35,10mai sigur9,32–19,358,76–17,8118,08–37,16
Șuturi din careu
63%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,897,9917,88sigur6,95–12,835,30–10,6712,25–23,50mai sigur6,12–13,664,57–11,4010,69–25,07
Șuturi blocate
45%
15%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,633,477,11sigur1,75–5,521,82–5,133,57–10,64mai sigur1,21–6,061,33–5,622,54–11,68
Cornere
57%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,664,6010,26sigur3,44–7,872,60–6,606,05–14,47mai sigur2,87–8,452,07–7,144,94–15,58
Posesie %
58%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,1347,92sigur45,34–58,9241,14–54,71mai sigur43,67–60,5939,47–56,38
Pase
62%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție458421879sigur391–526354–487746–1013mai sigur373–544337–505710–1049
Precizie pase %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,3269,46sigur62,29–70,3565,14–73,78mai sigur61,00–71,6463,83–75,09
Faulturi
23%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3213,3723,68sigur7,48–13,1510,42–16,3117,90–29,47mai sigur6,72–13,919,67–17,0616,40–30,97
Ofsaiduri
33%
21%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,792,133,93sigur0,63–2,951,04–3,231,67–6,18mai sigur0,33–3,250,75–3,521,08–6,77
Cartonașe galbene
28%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,532,133,66sigur0,48–2,581,00–3,261,48–5,84mai sigur0,21–2,850,71–3,550,92–6,39
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,120,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,440,00–0,80
Parade portar
36%
17%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,723,105,82sigur1,29–4,161,54–4,652,83–8,81mai sigur0,90–4,551,12–5,082,01–9,62
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,45 0,48–2,42 0,23–2,67 | 1,24 0,39–2,10 0,16–2,33 | 2,69 0,87–4,51 0,39–4,99 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,73 2,86–6,59 2,37–7,08 | 4,20 2,46–5,94 1,99–6,41 | 8,93 5,32–12,53 4,37–13,49 | 50% 13% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 14,33 10,41–18,26 9,32–19,35 | 13,28 9,72–16,85 8,76–17,81 | 27,62 20,13–35,10 18,08–37,16 | 54% 38% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,89 6,95–12,83 6,12–13,66 | 7,99 5,30–10,67 4,57–11,40 | 17,88 12,25–23,50 10,69–25,07 | 63% 28% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,63 1,75–5,52 1,21–6,06 | 3,47 1,82–5,13 1,33–5,62 | 7,11 3,57–10,64 2,54–11,68 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Cornere | 5,66 3,44–7,87 2,87–8,45 | 4,60 2,60–6,60 2,07–7,14 | 10,26 6,05–14,47 4,94–15,58 | 57% 31% |
| Posesie % | 52,13 45,34–58,92 43,67–60,59 | 47,92 41,14–54,71 39,47–56,38 | — | 58% 38% |
| Pase | 458 391–526 373–544 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 879 746–1013 710–1049 | 62% 38% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,32 62,29–70,35 61,00–71,64 | 69,46 65,14–73,78 63,83–75,09 | — | 32% 63% |
| Faulturi | 10,32 7,48–13,15 6,72–13,91 | 13,37 10,42–16,31 9,67–17,06 | 23,68 17,90–29,47 16,40–30,97 | 23% 70% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,79 0,63–2,95 0,33–3,25 | 2,13 1,04–3,23 0,75–3,52 | 3,93 1,67–6,18 1,08–6,77 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,53 0,48–2,58 0,21–2,85 | 2,13 1,00–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 3,66 1,48–5,84 0,92–6,39 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,72 1,29–4,16 0,90–4,55 | 3,10 1,54–4,65 1,12–5,08 | 5,82 2,83–8,81 2,01–9,62 | 36% 17% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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