Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 24·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
27%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,161,352,50sigur0,19–2,120,49–2,200,68–4,33mai sigur0,00–2,380,27–2,430,20–4,81
Șuturi pe poartă
42%
14%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,954,037,99sigur2,09–5,822,29–5,784,38–11,59mai sigur1,60–6,311,83–6,243,43–12,55
Total șuturi
53%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0213,1027,11sigur10,09–17,949,53–16,6619,63–34,60mai sigur9,00–19,038,57–17,6217,57–36,65
Șuturi din careu
49%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,848,4817,31sigur5,89–11,785,80–11,1611,69–22,94mai sigur5,06–12,615,06–11,9010,12–24,50
Șuturi blocate
47%
15%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,023,707,73sigur2,14–5,902,05–5,364,19–11,26mai sigur1,60–6,451,56–5,853,16–12,30
Cornere
35%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,645,3610,00sigur2,43–6,853,36–7,365,79–14,22mai sigur1,85–7,432,83–7,894,68–15,32
Posesie %
21%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,5956,34sigur36,80–50,3849,56–63,13mai sigur35,13–52,0547,89–64,80
Pase
24%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție406490896sigur338–473424–557762–1030mai sigur320–491406–574727–1066
Precizie pase %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,9872,10sigur56,95–65,0067,78–76,43mai sigur55,65–66,3066,47–77,74
Faulturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6310,4323,06sigur9,79–15,477,48–13,3717,27–28,84mai sigur9,04–16,226,73–14,1215,77–30,34
Ofsaiduri
41%
21%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,042,004,04sigur0,88–3,200,91–3,091,79–6,30mai sigur0,58–3,500,62–3,381,20–6,89
Cartonașe galbene
50%
21%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,061,553,61sigur1,01–3,110,42–2,681,43–5,79mai sigur0,74–3,380,13–2,970,87–6,35
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,080,17sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
42%
17%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,832,795,63sigur1,40–4,271,24–4,352,63–8,62mai sigur1,01–4,660,81–4,771,82–9,43
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,16 0,19–2,12 0,00–2,38 | 1,35 0,49–2,20 0,27–2,43 | 2,50 0,68–4,33 0,20–4,81 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,95 2,09–5,82 1,60–6,31 | 4,03 2,29–5,78 1,83–6,24 | 7,99 4,38–11,59 3,43–12,55 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total șuturi | 14,02 10,09–17,94 9,00–19,03 | 13,10 9,53–16,66 8,57–17,62 | 27,11 19,63–34,60 17,57–36,65 | 53% 39% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,84 5,89–11,78 5,06–12,61 | 8,48 5,80–11,16 5,06–11,90 | 17,31 11,69–22,94 10,12–24,50 | 49% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,02 2,14–5,90 1,60–6,45 | 3,70 2,05–5,36 1,56–5,85 | 7,73 4,19–11,26 3,16–12,30 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Cornere | 4,64 2,43–6,85 1,85–7,43 | 5,36 3,36–7,36 2,83–7,89 | 10,00 5,79–14,22 4,68–15,32 | 35% 53% |
| Posesie % | 43,59 36,80–50,38 35,13–52,05 | 56,34 49,56–63,13 47,89–64,80 | — | 21% 76% |
| Pase | 406 338–473 320–491 | 490 424–557 406–574 | 896 762–1030 727–1066 | 24% 76% |
| Precizie pase % | 60,98 56,95–65,00 55,65–66,30 | 72,10 67,78–76,43 66,47–77,74 | — | 91% |
| Faulturi | 12,63 9,79–15,47 9,04–16,22 | 10,43 7,48–13,37 6,73–14,12 | 23,06 17,27–28,84 15,77–30,34 | 64% 29% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,04 0,88–3,20 0,58–3,50 | 2,00 0,91–3,09 0,62–3,38 | 4,04 1,79–6,30 1,20–6,89 | 41% 21% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,06 1,01–3,11 0,74–3,38 | 1,55 0,42–2,68 0,13–2,97 | 3,61 1,43–5,79 0,87–6,35 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,83 1,40–4,27 1,01–4,66 | 2,79 1,24–4,35 0,81–4,77 | 5,63 2,63–8,62 1,82–9,43 | 42% 17% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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