Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 24·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
24%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,022,68sigur0,69–2,630,16–1,870,85–4,50mai sigur0,44–2,880,00–2,100,37–4,98
Șuturi pe poartă
66%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,963,248,21sigur3,10–6,831,50–4,994,60–11,81mai sigur2,61–7,311,03–5,453,65–12,77
Total șuturi
78%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,219,9524,16sigur10,29–18,146,38–13,5116,67–31,65mai sigur9,20–19,235,43–14,4714,62–33,70
Șuturi din careu
71%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,566,8216,38sigur6,61–12,504,14–9,5010,76–22,00mai sigur5,79–13,333,40–10,249,19–23,57
Șuturi blocate
65%
13%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,282,767,03sigur2,39–6,161,10–4,413,50–10,57mai sigur1,85–6,700,61–4,902,46–11,60
Cornere
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,934,2910,22sigur3,72–8,142,29–6,296,01–14,44mai sigur3,14–8,721,76–6,834,90–15,54
Posesie %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,2739,63sigur52,48–66,0632,84–46,41mai sigur50,81–67,7331,17–48,08
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție521338859sigur454–588271–404725–992mai sigur436–606254–422689–1028
Precizie pase %
77%
20%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,1262,99sigur65,09–73,1558,67–67,31mai sigur63,80–74,4557,36–68,62
Faulturi
22%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7014,1024,80sigur7,86–13,5411,15–17,0419,02–30,58mai sigur7,11–14,2910,41–17,7917,51–32,09
Ofsaiduri
34%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,863,50sigur0,48–2,800,77–2,961,25–5,75mai sigur0,18–3,100,48–3,240,66–6,34
Cartonașe galbene
22%
19%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,392,353,74sigur0,34–2,441,22–3,471,56–5,92mai sigur0,08–2,710,93–3,771,00–6,48
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
25%
16%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,313,405,71sigur0,88–3,751,84–4,962,72–8,70mai sigur0,49–4,141,42–5,381,91–9,52
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,66 0,69–2,63 0,44–2,88 | 1,02 0,16–1,87 0,00–2,10 | 2,68 0,85–4,50 0,37–4,98 | 52% 24% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,96 3,10–6,83 2,61–7,31 | 3,24 1,50–4,99 1,03–5,45 | 8,21 4,60–11,81 3,65–12,77 | 66% 22% |
| Total șuturi | 14,21 10,29–18,14 9,20–19,23 | 9,95 6,38–13,51 5,43–14,47 | 24,16 16,67–31,65 14,62–33,70 | 78% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,56 6,61–12,50 5,79–13,33 | 6,82 4,14–9,50 3,40–10,24 | 16,38 10,76–22,00 9,19–23,57 | 71% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,28 2,39–6,16 1,85–6,70 | 2,76 1,10–4,41 0,61–4,90 | 7,03 3,50–10,57 2,46–11,60 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Cornere | 5,93 3,72–8,14 3,14–8,72 | 4,29 2,29–6,29 1,76–6,83 | 10,22 6,01–14,44 4,90–15,54 | 64% 25% |
| Posesie % | 59,27 52,48–66,06 50,81–67,73 | 39,63 32,84–46,41 31,17–48,08 | — | 86% |
| Pase | 521 454–588 436–606 | 338 271–404 254–422 | 859 725–992 689–1028 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,12 65,09–73,15 63,80–74,45 | 62,99 58,67–67,31 57,36–68,62 | — | 77% 20% |
| Faulturi | 10,70 7,86–13,54 7,11–14,29 | 14,10 11,15–17,04 10,41–17,79 | 24,80 19,02–30,58 17,51–32,09 | 22% 72% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,64 0,48–2,80 0,18–3,10 | 1,86 0,77–2,96 0,48–3,24 | 3,50 1,25–5,75 0,66–6,34 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,39 0,34–2,44 0,08–2,71 | 2,35 1,22–3,47 0,93–3,77 | 3,74 1,56–5,92 1,00–6,48 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,31 0,88–3,75 0,49–4,14 | 3,40 1,84–4,96 1,42–5,38 | 5,71 2,72–8,70 1,91–9,52 | 25% 16% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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