Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 24·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
25%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,451,492,94sigur0,48–2,420,64–2,351,12–4,76mai sigur0,23–2,670,41–2,570,64–5,24
Șuturi pe poartă
49%
13%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,844,409,24sigur2,98–6,702,66–6,145,64–12,85mai sigur2,49–7,192,19–6,614,68–13,80
Total șuturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9812,0526,03sigur10,06–17,918,49–15,6118,55–33,52mai sigur8,97–19,007,53–16,5716,50–35,57
Șuturi din careu
45%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,848,9217,75sigur5,90–11,786,24–11,6012,13–23,38mai sigur5,07–12,615,50–12,3310,56–24,94
Șuturi blocate
42%
15%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,513,567,07sigur1,62–5,391,91–5,213,53–10,60mai sigur1,08–5,931,41–5,702,49–11,64
Cornere
38%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,615,089,69sigur2,39–6,823,08–7,085,47–13,90mai sigur1,82–7,392,55–7,624,37–15,01
Posesie %
33%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,1053,54sigur40,31–53,8946,76–60,33mai sigur38,64–55,5645,09–62,00
Pase
36%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție419463882sigur352–486396–529748–1015mai sigur334–504379–547712–1051
Precizie pase %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,7273,18sigur59,69–67,7568,86–77,50mai sigur58,40–69,0467,55–78,81
Faulturi
36%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7413,0624,79sigur8,90–14,5710,11–16,0019,01–30,57mai sigur8,14–15,339,36–16,7517,50–32,08
Ofsaiduri
70%
14%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,301,654,95sigur2,14–4,460,55–2,742,70–7,21mai sigur1,84–4,770,27–3,032,11–7,79
Cartonașe galbene
29%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,582,073,65sigur0,53–2,630,95–3,201,47–5,83mai sigur0,26–2,890,65–3,500,92–6,39
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,090,19sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,280,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,410,00–0,82
Parade portar
35%
16%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,843,266,10sigur1,40–4,271,70–4,813,11–9,09mai sigur1,02–4,661,28–5,242,29–9,90
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,45 0,48–2,42 0,23–2,67 | 1,49 0,64–2,35 0,41–2,57 | 2,94 1,12–4,76 0,64–5,24 | 37% 25% 39% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,84 2,98–6,70 2,49–7,19 | 4,40 2,66–6,14 2,19–6,61 | 9,24 5,64–12,85 4,68–13,80 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 13,98 10,06–17,91 8,97–19,00 | 12,05 8,49–15,61 7,53–16,57 | 26,03 18,55–33,52 16,50–35,57 | 61% 32% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,84 5,90–11,78 5,07–12,61 | 8,92 6,24–11,60 5,50–12,33 | 17,75 12,13–23,38 10,56–24,94 | 45% 46% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,51 1,62–5,39 1,08–5,93 | 3,56 1,91–5,21 1,41–5,70 | 7,07 3,53–10,60 2,49–11,64 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Cornere | 4,61 2,39–6,82 1,82–7,39 | 5,08 3,08–7,08 2,55–7,62 | 9,69 5,47–13,90 4,37–15,01 | 38% 50% |
| Posesie % | 47,10 40,31–53,89 38,64–55,56 | 53,54 46,76–60,33 45,09–62,00 | — | 33% 63% |
| Pase | 419 352–486 334–504 | 463 396–529 379–547 | 882 748–1015 712–1051 | 36% 64% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,72 59,69–67,75 58,40–69,04 | 73,18 68,86–77,50 67,55–78,81 | — | 88% |
| Faulturi | 11,74 8,90–14,57 8,14–15,33 | 13,06 10,11–16,00 9,36–16,75 | 24,79 19,01–30,57 17,50–32,08 | 36% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,30 2,14–4,46 1,84–4,77 | 1,65 0,55–2,74 0,27–3,03 | 4,95 2,70–7,21 2,11–7,79 | 70% 14% 16% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,58 0,53–2,63 0,26–2,89 | 2,07 0,95–3,20 0,65–3,50 | 3,65 1,47–5,83 0,92–6,39 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,84 1,40–4,27 1,02–4,66 | 3,26 1,70–4,81 1,28–5,24 | 6,10 3,11–9,09 2,29–9,90 | 35% 16% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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