Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 25·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
26%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,491,082,57sigur0,52–2,460,23–1,940,75–4,39mai sigur0,27–2,710,00–2,170,27–4,87
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
13%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,733,728,45sigur2,87–6,601,98–5,464,85–12,06mai sigur2,38–7,091,51–5,933,89–13,01
Total șuturi
62%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,6012,5627,16sigur10,67–18,529,00–16,1319,67–34,65mai sigur9,58–19,618,04–17,0917,62–36,70
Șuturi din careu
58%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,117,8216,93sigur6,17–12,065,13–10,5011,31–22,55mai sigur5,34–12,894,40–11,239,74–24,12
Șuturi blocate
51%
14%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,103,487,58sigur2,22–5,981,83–5,144,05–11,12mai sigur1,67–6,521,34–5,633,01–12,15
Cornere
57%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,674,5710,25sigur3,46–7,892,57–6,576,04–14,46mai sigur2,89–8,462,04–7,114,93–15,57
Posesie %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,8044,83sigur49,01–62,5938,05–51,62mai sigur47,34–64,2636,38–53,29
Pase
80%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție483382864sigur415–550315–448731–998mai sigur397–568298–466695–1034
Precizie pase %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,1866,64sigur61,15–69,2162,32–70,97mai sigur59,85–70,5061,01–72,28
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7811,8223,60sigur8,94–14,628,87–14,7617,82–29,38mai sigur8,19–15,388,12–15,5116,31–30,88
Ofsaiduri
42%
21%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,951,813,76sigur0,79–3,110,72–2,901,51–6,01mai sigur0,49–3,410,43–3,190,92–6,60
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,963,70sigur0,69–2,790,83–3,091,52–5,88mai sigur0,43–3,060,54–3,380,97–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
34%
17%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,643,095,73sigur1,21–4,081,53–4,652,74–8,72mai sigur0,82–4,471,11–5,071,93–9,54
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,49 0,52–2,46 0,27–2,71 | 1,08 0,23–1,94 0,00–2,17 | 2,57 0,75–4,39 0,27–4,87 | 46% 26% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,73 2,87–6,60 2,38–7,09 | 3,72 1,98–5,46 1,51–5,93 | 8,45 4,85–12,06 3,89–13,01 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 14,60 10,67–18,52 9,58–19,61 | 12,56 9,00–16,13 8,04–17,09 | 27,16 19,67–34,65 17,62–36,70 | 62% 31% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,11 6,17–12,06 5,34–12,89 | 7,82 5,13–10,50 4,40–11,23 | 16,93 11,31–22,55 9,74–24,12 | 58% 33% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,10 2,22–5,98 1,67–6,52 | 3,48 1,83–5,14 1,34–5,63 | 7,58 4,05–11,12 3,01–12,15 | 51% 14% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,67 3,46–7,89 2,89–8,46 | 4,57 2,57–6,57 2,04–7,11 | 10,25 6,04–14,46 4,93–15,57 | 57% 31% |
| Posesie % | 55,80 49,01–62,59 47,34–64,26 | 44,83 38,05–51,62 36,38–53,29 | — | 72% 24% |
| Pase | 483 415–550 397–568 | 382 315–448 298–466 | 864 731–998 695–1034 | 80% 20% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,18 61,15–69,21 59,85–70,50 | 66,64 62,32–70,97 61,01–72,28 | — | 40% 55% |
| Faulturi | 11,78 8,94–14,62 8,19–15,38 | 11,82 8,87–14,76 8,12–15,51 | 23,60 17,82–29,38 16,31–30,88 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,95 0,79–3,11 0,49–3,41 | 1,81 0,72–2,90 0,43–3,19 | 3,76 1,51–6,01 0,92–6,60 | 42% 21% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,74 0,69–2,79 0,43–3,06 | 1,96 0,83–3,09 0,54–3,38 | 3,70 1,52–5,88 0,97–6,44 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,64 1,21–4,08 0,82–4,47 | 3,09 1,53–4,65 1,11–5,07 | 5,73 2,74–8,72 1,93–9,54 | 34% 17% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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