Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 26·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
56%
23%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,032,84sigur0,84–2,780,17–1,881,02–4,66mai sigur0,59–3,030,00–2,110,54–5,14
Șuturi pe poartă
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,443,478,91sigur3,58–7,311,72–5,215,30–12,51mai sigur3,09–7,801,26–5,674,35–13,47
Total șuturi
78%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2210,7926,01sigur11,29–19,147,23–14,3518,52–33,49mai sigur10,20–20,236,27–15,3116,47–35,55
Șuturi din careu
74%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,097,0017,08sigur7,15–13,034,31–9,6811,46–22,71mai sigur6,32–13,863,58–10,419,89–24,27
Șuturi blocate
63%
14%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,032,656,68sigur2,15–5,911,00–4,303,14–10,21mai sigur1,60–6,450,51–4,802,11–11,25
Cornere
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,034,2110,24sigur3,82–8,242,21–6,216,03–14,45mai sigur3,24–8,821,68–6,744,92–15,56
Posesie %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,7545,43sigur47,96–61,5438,64–52,21mai sigur46,29–63,2136,97–53,88
Pase
79%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție496401897sigur429–564334–467763–1031mai sigur411–582317–485728–1067
Precizie pase %
48%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,4868,46sigur64,45–72,5064,13–72,78mai sigur63,15–73,8062,82–74,09
Faulturi
26%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0913,8524,94sigur8,25–13,9310,90–16,7919,16–30,72mai sigur7,50–14,6910,15–17,5417,65–32,22
Ofsaiduri
35%
20%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,072,334,41sigur0,91–3,231,24–3,432,15–6,66mai sigur0,61–3,530,95–3,711,56–7,25
Cartonașe galbene
24%
20%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,462,283,74sigur0,41–2,501,15–3,411,56–5,92mai sigur0,14–2,770,86–3,701,00–6,47
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,130,21sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,320,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,450,00–0,84
Parade portar
24%
15%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,403,575,96sigur0,96–3,842,01–5,122,97–8,96mai sigur0,58–4,221,58–5,552,16–9,77
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,81 0,84–2,78 0,59–3,03 | 1,03 0,17–1,88 0,00–2,11 | 2,84 1,02–4,66 0,54–5,14 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,44 3,58–7,31 3,09–7,80 | 3,47 1,72–5,21 1,26–5,67 | 8,91 5,30–12,51 4,35–13,47 | 69% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 15,22 11,29–19,14 10,20–20,23 | 10,79 7,23–14,35 6,27–15,31 | 26,01 18,52–33,49 16,47–35,55 | 78% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,09 7,15–13,03 6,32–13,86 | 7,00 4,31–9,68 3,58–10,41 | 17,08 11,46–22,71 9,89–24,27 | 74% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,03 2,15–5,91 1,60–6,45 | 2,65 1,00–4,30 0,51–4,80 | 6,68 3,14–10,21 2,11–11,25 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Cornere | 6,03 3,82–8,24 3,24–8,82 | 4,21 2,21–6,21 1,68–6,74 | 10,24 6,03–14,45 4,92–15,56 | 66% 23% |
| Posesie % | 54,75 47,96–61,54 46,29–63,21 | 45,43 38,64–52,21 36,97–53,88 | — | 69% 27% |
| Pase | 496 429–564 411–582 | 401 334–467 317–485 | 897 763–1031 728–1067 | 79% 21% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,48 64,45–72,50 63,15–73,80 | 68,46 64,13–72,78 62,82–74,09 | — | 48% 47% |
| Faulturi | 11,09 8,25–13,93 7,50–14,69 | 13,85 10,90–16,79 10,15–17,54 | 24,94 19,16–30,72 17,65–32,22 | 26% 67% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,07 0,91–3,23 0,61–3,53 | 2,33 1,24–3,43 0,95–3,71 | 4,41 2,15–6,66 1,56–7,25 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,46 0,41–2,50 0,14–2,77 | 2,28 1,15–3,41 0,86–3,70 | 3,74 1,56–5,92 1,00–6,47 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,21 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,40 0,96–3,84 0,58–4,22 | 3,57 2,01–5,12 1,58–5,55 | 5,96 2,97–8,96 2,16–9,77 | 24% 15% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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