Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 27·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
27%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,350,992,35sigur0,39–2,320,14–1,840,52–4,17mai sigur0,14–2,570,00–2,070,04–4,65
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
14%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,493,477,96sigur2,63–6,351,72–5,214,35–11,56mai sigur2,14–6,841,26–5,673,40–12,52
Total șuturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7711,6724,44sigur8,84–16,698,11–15,2416,95–31,93mai sigur7,75–17,787,15–16,2014,90–33,98
Șuturi din careu
61%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,977,3316,30sigur6,03–11,914,65–10,0110,68–21,93mai sigur5,20–12,743,91–10,759,11–23,49
Șuturi blocate
47%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,383,036,41sigur1,49–5,261,38–4,692,87–9,95mai sigur0,95–5,800,89–5,181,84–10,98
Cornere
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,584,359,93sigur3,37–7,792,35–6,355,72–14,14mai sigur2,79–8,371,82–6,884,61–15,25
Posesie %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,9750,10sigur43,18–56,7643,32–56,89mai sigur41,51–58,4341,65–58,56
Pase
42%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție424448872sigur357–491382–515739–1006mai sigur339–509364–532703–1042
Precizie pase %
25%
71%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,0866,86sigur58,05–66,1162,54–71,19mai sigur56,76–67,4161,23–72,50
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0112,2324,23sigur9,17–14,859,28–15,1718,45–30,02mai sigur8,41–15,608,53–15,9216,95–31,52
Ofsaiduri
49%
21%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,051,553,60sigur0,89–3,210,45–2,641,34–5,85mai sigur0,59–3,510,16–2,930,75–6,44
Cartonașe galbene
33%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,973,64sigur0,61–2,710,85–3,101,46–5,81mai sigur0,35–2,980,55–3,400,90–6,37
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
31%
17%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,423,045,46sigur0,98–3,851,49–4,602,47–8,45mai sigur0,59–4,241,06–5,031,66–9,27
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,39–2,32 0,14–2,57 | 0,99 0,14–1,84 0,00–2,07 | 2,35 0,52–4,17 0,04–4,65 | 45% 27% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,49 2,63–6,35 2,14–6,84 | 3,47 1,72–5,21 1,26–5,67 | 7,96 4,35–11,56 3,40–12,52 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 12,77 8,84–16,69 7,75–17,78 | 11,67 8,11–15,24 7,15–16,20 | 24,44 16,95–31,93 14,90–33,98 | 55% 37% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,97 6,03–11,91 5,20–12,74 | 7,33 4,65–10,01 3,91–10,75 | 16,30 10,68–21,93 9,11–23,49 | 61% 30% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,38 1,49–5,26 0,95–5,80 | 3,03 1,38–4,69 0,89–5,18 | 6,41 2,87–9,95 1,84–10,98 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,58 3,37–7,79 2,79–8,37 | 4,35 2,35–6,35 1,82–6,88 | 9,93 5,72–14,14 4,61–15,25 | 59% 29% |
| Posesie % | 49,97 43,18–56,76 41,51–58,43 | 50,10 43,32–56,89 41,65–58,56 | — | 47% 48% |
| Pase | 424 357–491 339–509 | 448 382–515 364–532 | 872 739–1006 703–1042 | 42% 58% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,08 58,05–66,11 56,76–67,41 | 66,86 62,54–71,19 61,23–72,50 | — | 25% 71% |
| Faulturi | 12,01 9,17–14,85 8,41–15,60 | 12,23 9,28–15,17 8,53–15,92 | 24,23 18,45–30,02 16,95–31,52 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,05 0,89–3,21 0,59–3,51 | 1,55 0,45–2,64 0,16–2,93 | 3,60 1,34–5,85 0,75–6,44 | 49% 21% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,66 0,61–2,71 0,35–2,98 | 1,97 0,85–3,10 0,55–3,40 | 3,64 1,46–5,81 0,90–6,37 | 33% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,42 0,98–3,85 0,59–4,24 | 3,04 1,49–4,60 1,06–5,03 | 5,46 2,47–8,45 1,66–9,27 | 31% 17% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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