Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 27·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
25%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,242,85sigur0,65–2,580,38–2,091,03–4,67mai sigur0,40–2,830,15–2,320,55–5,15
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,154,149,30sigur3,29–7,022,40–5,885,69–12,90mai sigur2,80–7,501,93–6,354,73–13,86
Total șuturi
67%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3311,5625,89sigur10,41–18,268,00–15,1218,40–33,38mai sigur9,32–19,357,04–16,0816,35–35,43
Șuturi din careu
74%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,347,1617,50sigur7,40–13,284,48–9,8411,88–23,13mai sigur6,57–14,113,75–10,5810,31–24,69
Șuturi blocate
46%
15%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,943,707,64sigur2,06–5,822,04–5,354,10–11,17mai sigur1,52–6,371,55–5,843,07–12,21
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,864,1610,02sigur3,65–8,072,16–6,165,81–14,23mai sigur3,07–8,651,63–6,694,70–15,34
Posesie %
48%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,9650,00sigur43,17–56,7543,22–56,79mai sigur41,50–58,4241,55–58,46
Pase
59%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție478450928sigur411–545383–516794–1062mai sigur393–563366–534759–1097
Precizie pase %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,3570,26sigur60,32–68,3865,94–74,58mai sigur59,03–69,6864,63–75,89
Faulturi
42%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7911,2322,02sigur7,95–13,638,28–14,1716,24–27,80mai sigur7,20–14,397,53–14,9214,73–29,31
Ofsaiduri
48%
24%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,212,87sigur0,50–2,820,12–2,300,62–5,13mai sigur0,20–3,120,00–2,590,03–5,71
Cartonașe galbene
34%
23%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,763,30sigur0,49–2,590,63–2,891,12–5,48mai sigur0,22–2,850,34–3,180,56–6,03
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,080,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,270,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
37%
16%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,923,256,17sigur1,48–4,351,70–4,813,18–9,16mai sigur1,10–4,741,27–5,232,37–9,98
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,62 0,65–2,58 0,40–2,83 | 1,24 0,38–2,09 0,15–2,32 | 2,85 1,03–4,67 0,55–5,15 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,15 3,29–7,02 2,80–7,50 | 4,14 2,40–5,88 1,93–6,35 | 9,30 5,69–12,90 4,73–13,86 | 57% 31% |
| Total șuturi | 14,33 10,41–18,26 9,32–19,35 | 11,56 8,00–15,12 7,04–16,08 | 25,89 18,40–33,38 16,35–35,43 | 67% 26% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,34 7,40–13,28 6,57–14,11 | 7,16 4,48–9,84 3,75–10,58 | 17,50 11,88–23,13 10,31–24,69 | 74% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,94 2,06–5,82 1,52–6,37 | 3,70 2,04–5,35 1,55–5,84 | 7,64 4,10–11,17 3,07–12,21 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Cornere | 5,86 3,65–8,07 3,07–8,65 | 4,16 2,16–6,16 1,63–6,69 | 10,02 5,81–14,23 4,70–15,34 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 49,96 43,17–56,75 41,50–58,42 | 50,00 43,22–56,79 41,55–58,46 | — | 48% 48% |
| Pase | 478 411–545 393–563 | 450 383–516 366–534 | 928 794–1062 759–1097 | 59% 41% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,35 60,32–68,38 59,03–69,68 | 70,26 65,94–74,58 64,63–75,89 | — | 20% 76% |
| Faulturi | 10,79 7,95–13,63 7,20–14,39 | 11,23 8,28–14,17 7,53–14,92 | 22,02 16,24–27,80 14,73–29,31 | 42% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,66 0,50–2,82 0,20–3,12 | 1,21 0,12–2,30 0,00–2,59 | 2,87 0,62–5,13 0,03–5,71 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,59 0,22–2,85 | 1,76 0,63–2,89 0,34–3,18 | 3,30 1,12–5,48 0,56–6,03 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,92 1,48–4,35 1,10–4,74 | 3,25 1,70–4,81 1,27–5,23 | 6,17 3,18–9,16 2,37–9,98 | 37% 16% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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