Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 27·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
25%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,392,86sigur0,50–2,440,53–2,241,03–4,68mai sigur0,25–2,690,30–2,470,55–5,16
Șuturi pe poartă
51%
13%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,804,249,04sigur2,93–6,662,50–5,985,43–12,64mai sigur2,44–7,152,03–6,454,48–13,60
Total șuturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2812,2325,51sigur9,36–17,208,67–15,7918,02–33,00mai sigur8,26–18,307,71–16,7515,97–35,05
Șuturi din careu
56%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,997,8816,87sigur6,05–11,945,20–10,5611,25–22,50mai sigur5,22–12,764,46–11,309,68–24,06
Șuturi blocate
44%
15%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,623,547,16sigur1,74–5,501,89–5,193,62–10,70mai sigur1,20–6,051,39–5,682,59–11,73
Cornere
49%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,254,7910,04sigur3,04–7,462,79–6,795,83–14,25mai sigur2,46–8,042,26–7,324,72–15,36
Posesie %
35%
61%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,3752,94sigur40,58–54,1646,15–59,72mai sigur38,91–55,8344,48–61,39
Pase
44%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție424441865sigur356–491375–508731–999mai sigur338–509357–525696–1034
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,7669,51sigur56,73–64,7965,18–73,83mai sigur55,44–66,0963,87–75,14
Faulturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0511,7524,79sigur10,21–15,888,80–14,6919,01–30,58mai sigur9,45–16,648,05–15,4417,51–32,08
Ofsaiduri
30%
19%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,842,424,26sigur0,68–3,001,32–3,512,00–6,51mai sigur0,38–3,301,04–3,801,41–7,10
Cartonașe galbene
47%
20%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,261,884,14sigur1,21–3,310,75–3,011,96–6,31mai sigur0,94–3,570,46–3,301,40–6,87
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,080,18sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,81
Parade portar
37%
17%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,703,015,71sigur1,27–4,141,45–4,562,72–8,71mai sigur0,88–4,531,03–4,991,91–9,52
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,47 0,50–2,44 0,25–2,69 | 1,39 0,53–2,24 0,30–2,47 | 2,86 1,03–4,68 0,55–5,16 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,80 2,93–6,66 2,44–7,15 | 4,24 2,50–5,98 2,03–6,45 | 9,04 5,43–12,64 4,48–13,60 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 13,28 9,36–17,20 8,26–18,30 | 12,23 8,67–15,79 7,71–16,75 | 25,51 18,02–33,00 15,97–35,05 | 54% 38% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,99 6,05–11,94 5,22–12,76 | 7,88 5,20–10,56 4,46–11,30 | 16,87 11,25–22,50 9,68–24,06 | 56% 35% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,62 1,74–5,50 1,20–6,05 | 3,54 1,89–5,19 1,39–5,68 | 7,16 3,62–10,70 2,59–11,73 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Cornere | 5,25 3,04–7,46 2,46–8,04 | 4,79 2,79–6,79 2,26–7,32 | 10,04 5,83–14,25 4,72–15,36 | 49% 38% |
| Posesie % | 47,37 40,58–54,16 38,91–55,83 | 52,94 46,15–59,72 44,48–61,39 | — | 35% 61% |
| Pase | 424 356–491 338–509 | 441 375–508 357–525 | 865 731–999 696–1034 | 44% 56% |
| Precizie pase % | 60,76 56,73–64,79 55,44–66,09 | 69,51 65,18–73,83 63,87–75,14 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 13,05 10,21–15,88 9,45–16,64 | 11,75 8,80–14,69 8,05–15,44 | 24,79 19,01–30,58 17,51–32,08 | 56% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,84 0,68–3,00 0,38–3,30 | 2,42 1,32–3,51 1,04–3,80 | 4,26 2,00–6,51 1,41–7,10 | 30% 19% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,26 1,21–3,31 0,94–3,57 | 1,88 0,75–3,01 0,46–3,30 | 4,14 1,96–6,31 1,40–6,87 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,70 1,27–4,14 0,88–4,53 | 3,01 1,45–4,56 1,03–4,99 | 5,71 2,72–8,71 1,91–9,52 | 37% 17% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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