Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 28·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
67%
19%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,130,842,96sigur1,16–3,100,00–1,691,14–4,79mai sigur0,91–3,350,00–1,920,66–5,27
Șuturi pe poartă
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,083,119,19sigur4,22–7,941,37–4,855,59–12,80mai sigur3,73–8,430,90–5,324,63–13,75
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,418,6025,01sigur12,49–20,345,04–12,1717,53–32,50mai sigur11,40–21,434,08–13,1315,48–34,55
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,405,5416,94sigur8,46–14,342,86–8,2211,32–22,56mai sigur7,63–15,172,12–8,969,75–24,13
Șuturi blocate
71%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,482,527,00sigur2,60–6,370,86–4,173,47–10,54mai sigur2,06–6,910,37–4,662,43–11,57
Cornere
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,533,329,85sigur4,31–8,741,32–5,325,64–14,06mai sigur3,74–9,310,79–5,864,53–15,17
Posesie %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,8442,28sigur52,05–65,6335,49–49,06mai sigur50,38–67,3033,82–50,73
Pase
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție560417977sigur493–627350–483843–1110mai sigur475–645333–501807–1146
Precizie pase %
77%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,0467,71sigur70,01–78,0763,38–72,03mai sigur68,72–79,3662,07–73,34
Faulturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8211,0922,92sigur8,99–14,668,15–14,0417,13–28,70mai sigur8,23–15,427,40–14,7815,63–30,20
Ofsaiduri
18%
15%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,823,345,15sigur0,66–2,982,24–4,432,90–7,41mai sigur0,35–3,281,96–4,722,31–8,00
Cartonașe galbene
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,953,51sigur0,51–2,600,82–3,081,33–5,69mai sigur0,24–2,870,53–3,370,77–6,24
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
17%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,153,946,10sigur0,72–3,592,39–5,503,11–9,09mai sigur0,33–3,981,96–5,922,29–9,90
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,13 1,16–3,10 0,91–3,35 | 0,84 0,00–1,69 0,00–1,92 | 2,96 1,14–4,79 0,66–5,27 | 67% 19% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,08 4,22–7,94 3,73–8,43 | 3,11 1,37–4,85 0,90–5,32 | 9,19 5,59–12,80 4,63–13,75 | 79% |
| Total șuturi | 16,41 12,49–20,34 11,40–21,43 | 8,60 5,04–12,17 4,08–13,13 | 25,01 17,53–32,50 15,48–34,55 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,40 8,46–14,34 7,63–15,17 | 5,54 2,86–8,22 2,12–8,96 | 16,94 11,32–22,56 9,75–24,13 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,48 2,60–6,37 2,06–6,91 | 2,52 0,86–4,17 0,37–4,66 | 7,00 3,47–10,54 2,43–11,57 | 71% 17% |
| Cornere | 6,53 4,31–8,74 3,74–9,31 | 3,32 1,32–5,32 0,79–5,86 | 9,85 5,64–14,06 4,53–15,17 | 81% |
| Posesie % | 58,84 52,05–65,63 50,38–67,30 | 42,28 35,49–49,06 33,82–50,73 | — | 82% 15% |
| Pase | 560 493–627 475–645 | 417 350–483 333–501 | 977 843–1110 807–1146 | 88% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,04 70,01–78,07 68,72–79,36 | 67,71 63,38–72,03 62,07–73,34 | — | 77% 19% |
| Faulturi | 11,82 8,99–14,66 8,23–15,42 | 11,09 8,15–14,04 7,40–14,78 | 22,92 17,13–28,70 15,63–30,20 | 52% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,82 0,66–2,98 0,35–3,28 | 3,34 2,24–4,43 1,96–4,72 | 5,15 2,90–7,41 2,31–8,00 | 18% 15% 67% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,56 0,51–2,60 0,24–2,87 | 1,95 0,82–3,08 0,53–3,37 | 3,51 1,33–5,69 0,77–6,24 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,15 0,72–3,59 0,33–3,98 | 3,94 2,39–5,50 1,96–5,92 | 6,10 3,11–9,09 2,29–9,90 | 17% 70% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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