Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
25%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,282,87sigur0,62–2,560,43–2,141,05–4,69mai sigur0,37–2,810,20–2,370,57–5,17
Șuturi pe poartă
50%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,014,479,49sigur3,15–6,882,73–6,225,88–13,09mai sigur2,66–7,372,27–6,684,93–14,05
Total șuturi
59%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9412,3326,27sigur10,02–17,878,76–15,8918,78–33,76mai sigur8,93–18,967,80–16,8516,73–35,81
Șuturi din careu
59%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,257,8017,05sigur6,31–12,195,12–10,4811,43–22,68mai sigur5,48–13,024,38–11,229,86–24,24
Șuturi blocate
35%
14%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,584,147,71sigur1,70–5,462,48–5,794,18–11,25mai sigur1,15–6,001,99–6,283,14–12,28
Cornere
46%
13%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,674,469,13sigur2,45–6,882,46–6,464,92–13,34mai sigur1,88–7,461,93–7,003,81–14,45
Posesie %
38%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,9952,29sigur41,20–54,7845,50–59,07mai sigur39,53–56,4543,83–60,74
Pase
50%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție458458916sigur390–525392–525782–1049mai sigur372–543374–542746–1085
Precizie pase %
17%
79%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,2375,01sigur64,20–72,2670,68–79,33mai sigur62,91–73,5569,38–80,64
Faulturi
30%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9514,1726,12sigur9,11–14,7911,22–17,1120,34–31,90mai sigur8,36–15,5410,47–17,8618,83–33,40
Ofsaiduri
70%
14%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,471,745,21sigur2,31–4,630,65–2,832,96–7,46mai sigur2,01–4,930,36–3,122,37–8,05
Cartonașe galbene
30%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,642,133,77sigur0,59–2,691,00–3,261,59–5,95mai sigur0,32–2,960,71–3,551,03–6,51
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
36%
16%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,883,226,10sigur1,44–4,321,66–4,783,11–9,09mai sigur1,06–4,701,24–5,202,30–9,90
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,59 0,62–2,56 0,37–2,81 | 1,28 0,43–2,14 0,20–2,37 | 2,87 1,05–4,69 0,57–5,17 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,01 3,15–6,88 2,66–7,37 | 4,47 2,73–6,22 2,27–6,68 | 9,49 5,88–13,09 4,93–14,05 | 50% 37% |
| Total șuturi | 13,94 10,02–17,87 8,93–18,96 | 12,33 8,76–15,89 7,80–16,85 | 26,27 18,78–33,76 16,73–35,81 | 59% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,25 6,31–12,19 5,48–13,02 | 7,80 5,12–10,48 4,38–11,22 | 17,05 11,43–22,68 9,86–24,24 | 59% 32% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,58 1,70–5,46 1,15–6,00 | 4,14 2,48–5,79 1,99–6,28 | 7,71 4,18–11,25 3,14–12,28 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Cornere | 4,67 2,45–6,88 1,88–7,46 | 4,46 2,46–6,46 1,93–7,00 | 9,13 4,92–13,34 3,81–14,45 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Posesie % | 47,99 41,20–54,78 39,53–56,45 | 52,29 45,50–59,07 43,83–60,74 | — | 38% 58% |
| Pase | 458 390–525 372–543 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 916 782–1049 746–1085 | 50% 50% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,23 64,20–72,26 62,91–73,55 | 75,01 70,68–79,33 69,38–80,64 | — | 17% 79% |
| Faulturi | 11,95 9,11–14,79 8,36–15,54 | 14,17 11,22–17,11 10,47–17,86 | 26,12 20,34–31,90 18,83–33,40 | 30% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,47 2,31–4,63 2,01–4,93 | 1,74 0,65–2,83 0,36–3,12 | 5,21 2,96–7,46 2,37–8,05 | 70% 14% 16% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,64 0,59–2,69 0,32–2,96 | 2,13 1,00–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 3,77 1,59–5,95 1,03–6,51 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,88 1,44–4,32 1,06–4,70 | 3,22 1,66–4,78 1,24–5,20 | 6,10 3,11–9,09 2,30–9,90 | 36% 16% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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