Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
23%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,840,962,79sigur0,87–2,810,10–1,810,97–4,62mai sigur0,62–3,060,00–2,040,49–5,10
Șuturi pe poartă
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,543,338,87sigur3,68–7,401,59–5,075,27–12,48mai sigur3,19–7,891,12–5,544,31–13,43
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,6710,6527,32sigur12,75–20,607,08–14,2119,83–34,81mai sigur11,66–21,696,13–15,1717,78–36,86
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,626,7118,33sigur8,67–14,564,03–9,3912,71–23,95mai sigur7,84–15,393,29–10,1311,14–25,52
Șuturi blocate
65%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,783,177,95sigur2,89–6,661,52–4,824,41–11,48mai sigur2,35–7,201,02–5,313,37–12,52
Cornere
70%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,264,0410,29sigur4,04–8,472,04–6,046,08–14,51mai sigur3,47–9,041,50–6,574,97–15,61
Posesie %
51%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,0549,75sigur44,26–57,8442,96–56,53mai sigur42,59–59,5141,29–58,20
Pase
62%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție493456949sigur426–561389–522815–1083mai sigur408–579372–540780–1118
Precizie pase %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,3970,64sigur61,36–69,4266,32–74,96mai sigur60,07–70,7165,01–76,27
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1710,6921,86sigur8,33–14,017,74–13,6316,08–27,64mai sigur7,58–14,767,00–14,3814,57–29,14
Ofsaiduri
53%
22%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,941,253,19sigur0,78–3,100,16–2,340,94–5,44mai sigur0,48–3,400,00–2,630,35–6,03
Cartonașe galbene
36%
24%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,603,11sigur0,46–2,560,47–2,730,93–5,28mai sigur0,19–2,820,18–3,020,37–5,84
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,080,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,270,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,400,00–0,77
Parade portar
23%
15%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,363,605,96sigur0,92–3,792,05–5,162,97–8,96mai sigur0,53–4,181,62–5,592,16–9,77
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,84 0,87–2,81 0,62–3,06 | 0,96 0,10–1,81 0,00–2,04 | 2,79 0,97–4,62 0,49–5,10 | 58% 23% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,54 3,68–7,40 3,19–7,89 | 3,33 1,59–5,07 1,12–5,54 | 8,87 5,27–12,48 4,31–13,43 | 72% 18% |
| Total șuturi | 16,67 12,75–20,60 11,66–21,69 | 10,65 7,08–14,21 6,13–15,17 | 27,32 19,83–34,81 17,78–36,86 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,62 8,67–14,56 7,84–15,39 | 6,71 4,03–9,39 3,29–10,13 | 18,33 12,71–23,95 11,14–25,52 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,78 2,89–6,66 2,35–7,20 | 3,17 1,52–4,82 1,02–5,31 | 7,95 4,41–11,48 3,37–12,52 | 65% 22% |
| Cornere | 6,26 4,04–8,47 3,47–9,04 | 4,04 2,04–6,04 1,50–6,57 | 10,29 6,08–14,51 4,97–15,61 | 70% 20% |
| Posesie % | 51,05 44,26–57,84 42,59–59,51 | 49,75 42,96–56,53 41,29–58,20 | — | 51% 45% |
| Pase | 493 426–561 408–579 | 456 389–522 372–540 | 949 815–1083 780–1118 | 62% 37% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,39 61,36–69,42 60,07–70,71 | 70,64 66,32–74,96 65,01–76,27 | — | 23% 73% |
| Faulturi | 11,17 8,33–14,01 7,58–14,76 | 10,69 7,74–13,63 7,00–14,38 | 21,86 16,08–27,64 14,57–29,14 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,94 0,78–3,10 0,48–3,40 | 1,25 0,16–2,34 0,00–2,63 | 3,19 0,94–5,44 0,35–6,03 | 53% 22% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,51 0,46–2,56 0,19–2,82 | 1,60 0,47–2,73 0,18–3,02 | 3,11 0,93–5,28 0,37–5,84 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,36 0,92–3,79 0,53–4,18 | 3,60 2,05–5,16 1,62–5,59 | 5,96 2,97–8,96 2,16–9,77 | 23% 15% 62% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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