Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
49%
26%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,500,982,49sigur0,54–2,470,13–1,840,66–4,31mai sigur0,28–2,720,00–2,070,18–4,79
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
13%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,593,317,90sigur2,73–6,451,57–5,064,30–11,51mai sigur2,24–6,941,10–5,523,34–12,46
Total șuturi
69%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5910,6224,21sigur9,66–17,517,06–14,1816,72–31,69mai sigur8,57–18,606,10–15,1414,67–33,74
Șuturi din careu
71%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,466,7716,24sigur6,52–12,414,09–9,4510,61–21,86mai sigur5,69–13,243,35–10,199,05–23,43
Șuturi blocate
49%
15%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,743,307,04sigur1,86–5,621,65–4,953,50–10,57mai sigur1,31–6,171,15–5,442,47–11,61
Cornere
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,194,1610,35sigur3,98–8,412,16–6,166,14–14,57mai sigur3,41–8,981,63–6,695,03–15,68
Posesie %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,5244,94sigur47,73–61,3138,15–51,72mai sigur46,06–62,9836,48–53,39
Pase
78%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție488395883sigur420–555329–462749–1017mai sigur402–573311–479714–1052
Precizie pase %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,2367,00sigur61,20–69,2662,67–71,32mai sigur59,91–70,5661,36–72,63
Faulturi
31%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3513,3824,73sigur8,51–14,1910,43–16,3218,94–30,51mai sigur7,76–14,949,68–17,0717,44–32,01
Ofsaiduri
53%
21%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,131,443,56sigur0,97–3,290,34–2,531,31–5,82mai sigur0,66–3,590,06–2,820,72–6,41
Cartonașe galbene
28%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,502,093,59sigur0,45–2,550,96–3,221,41–5,77mai sigur0,19–2,820,67–3,510,85–6,33
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
33%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,483,025,50sigur1,04–3,921,46–4,582,51–8,49mai sigur0,66–4,301,04–5,001,70–9,30
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,50 0,54–2,47 0,28–2,72 | 0,98 0,13–1,84 0,00–2,07 | 2,49 0,66–4,31 0,18–4,79 | 49% 26% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,59 2,73–6,45 2,24–6,94 | 3,31 1,57–5,06 1,10–5,52 | 7,90 4,30–11,51 3,34–12,46 | 61% 13% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 13,59 9,66–17,51 8,57–18,60 | 10,62 7,06–14,18 6,10–15,14 | 24,21 16,72–31,69 14,67–33,74 | 69% 24% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,46 6,52–12,41 5,69–13,24 | 6,77 4,09–9,45 3,35–10,19 | 16,24 10,61–21,86 9,05–23,43 | 71% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,74 1,86–5,62 1,31–6,17 | 3,30 1,65–4,95 1,15–5,44 | 7,04 3,50–10,57 2,47–11,61 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Cornere | 6,19 3,98–8,41 3,41–8,98 | 4,16 2,16–6,16 1,63–6,69 | 10,35 6,14–14,57 5,03–15,68 | 68% 21% |
| Posesie % | 54,52 47,73–61,31 46,06–62,98 | 44,94 38,15–51,72 36,48–53,39 | — | 69% 27% |
| Pase | 488 420–555 402–573 | 395 329–462 311–479 | 883 749–1017 714–1052 | 78% 22% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,23 61,20–69,26 59,91–70,56 | 67,00 62,67–71,32 61,36–72,63 | — | 39% 56% |
| Faulturi | 11,35 8,51–14,19 7,76–14,94 | 13,38 10,43–16,32 9,68–17,07 | 24,73 18,94–30,51 17,44–32,01 | 31% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,13 0,97–3,29 0,66–3,59 | 1,44 0,34–2,53 0,06–2,82 | 3,56 1,31–5,82 0,72–6,41 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,19–2,82 | 2,09 0,96–3,22 0,67–3,51 | 3,59 1,41–5,77 0,85–6,33 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,48 1,04–3,92 0,66–4,30 | 3,02 1,46–4,58 1,04–5,00 | 5,50 2,51–8,49 1,70–9,30 | 33% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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