Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 29·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
25%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,432,83sigur0,44–2,370,57–2,281,01–4,65mai sigur0,18–2,620,34–2,510,53–5,13
Șuturi pe poartă
43%
13%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,704,739,42sigur2,84–6,562,98–6,475,82–13,03mai sigur2,35–7,052,52–6,934,86–13,98
Total șuturi
58%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5413,0527,59sigur10,62–18,479,48–16,6120,10–35,08mai sigur9,53–19,568,52–17,5718,05–37,13
Șuturi din careu
42%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,079,4218,49sigur6,13–12,016,74–12,1012,86–24,11mai sigur5,30–12,846,00–12,8411,30–25,68
Șuturi blocate
47%
15%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,953,617,56sigur2,06–5,831,96–5,274,02–11,09mai sigur1,52–6,371,47–5,762,99–12,13
Cornere
44%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,105,0610,15sigur2,88–7,313,06–7,065,94–14,37mai sigur2,31–7,882,53–7,594,83–15,47
Posesie %
43%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,3751,21sigur42,58–56,1644,42–57,99mai sigur40,91–57,8342,75–59,66
Pase
47%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție459468927sigur392–526401–534793–1060mai sigur373–544384–552757–1096
Precizie pase %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,3974,81sigur64,36–72,4270,49–79,13mai sigur63,07–73,7169,18–80,44
Faulturi
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4011,5821,98sigur7,57–13,248,63–14,5216,20–27,76mai sigur6,81–14,007,88–15,2714,69–29,27
Ofsaiduri
46%
23%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,433,20sigur0,61–2,930,34–2,520,95–5,46mai sigur0,31–3,230,05–2,810,36–6,04
Cartonașe galbene
36%
23%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,673,23sigur0,51–2,610,54–2,801,05–5,41mai sigur0,24–2,870,25–3,090,49–5,96
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
42%
16%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,183,176,36sigur1,75–4,621,62–4,733,36–9,35mai sigur1,36–5,011,19–5,152,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,40 0,44–2,37 0,18–2,62 | 1,43 0,57–2,28 0,34–2,51 | 2,83 1,01–4,65 0,53–5,13 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,70 2,84–6,56 2,35–7,05 | 4,73 2,98–6,47 2,52–6,93 | 9,42 5,82–13,03 4,86–13,98 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Total șuturi | 14,54 10,62–18,47 9,53–19,56 | 13,05 9,48–16,61 8,52–17,57 | 27,59 20,10–35,08 18,05–37,13 | 58% 35% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,07 6,13–12,01 5,30–12,84 | 9,42 6,74–12,10 6,00–12,84 | 18,49 12,86–24,11 11,30–25,68 | 42% 49% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,95 2,06–5,83 1,52–6,37 | 3,61 1,96–5,27 1,47–5,76 | 7,56 4,02–11,09 2,99–12,13 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Cornere | 5,10 2,88–7,31 2,31–7,88 | 5,06 3,06–7,06 2,53–7,59 | 10,15 5,94–14,37 4,83–15,47 | 44% 43% |
| Posesie % | 49,37 42,58–56,16 40,91–57,83 | 51,21 44,42–57,99 42,75–59,66 | — | 43% 52% |
| Pase | 459 392–526 373–544 | 468 401–534 384–552 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 47% 53% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,39 64,36–72,42 63,07–73,71 | 74,81 70,49–79,13 69,18–80,44 | — | 19% 78% |
| Faulturi | 10,40 7,57–13,24 6,81–14,00 | 11,58 8,63–14,52 7,88–15,27 | 21,98 16,20–27,76 14,69–29,27 | 36% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,77 0,61–2,93 0,31–3,23 | 1,43 0,34–2,52 0,05–2,81 | 3,20 0,95–5,46 0,36–6,04 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,56 0,51–2,61 0,24–2,87 | 1,67 0,54–2,80 0,25–3,09 | 3,23 1,05–5,41 0,49–5,96 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,18 1,75–4,62 1,36–5,01 | 3,17 1,62–4,73 1,19–5,15 | 6,36 3,36–9,35 2,55–10,16 | 42% 16% 42% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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