Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 30·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
23%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,203,06sigur0,89–2,830,34–2,051,24–4,88mai sigur0,64–3,080,11–2,280,76–5,36
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,774,159,91sigur3,91–7,632,40–5,896,31–13,52mai sigur3,42–8,121,94–6,355,35–14,48
Total șuturi
78%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,8212,1228,94sigur12,90–20,758,56–15,6921,46–36,43mai sigur11,81–21,847,60–16,6519,41–38,48
Șuturi din careu
68%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,098,5719,66sigur8,15–14,035,89–11,2514,04–25,28mai sigur7,32–14,865,15–11,9912,47–26,85
Șuturi blocate
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,053,498,54sigur3,17–6,941,83–5,145,00–12,07mai sigur2,63–7,481,34–5,633,97–13,11
Cornere
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,273,9310,20sigur4,06–8,491,93–5,935,99–14,42mai sigur3,49–9,061,40–6,464,88–15,52
Posesie %
83%
14%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,6941,77sigur51,90–65,4834,98–48,55mai sigur50,23–67,1533,31–50,22
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție576377953sigur509–644310–443820–1087mai sigur491–662293–461784–1123
Precizie pase %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,7668,70sigur69,73–77,7964,37–73,02mai sigur68,43–79,0863,06–74,33
Faulturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4511,8822,33sigur7,61–13,298,93–14,8216,55–28,11mai sigur6,86–14,058,18–15,5715,04–29,62
Ofsaiduri
29%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,522,013,53sigur0,36–2,680,91–3,101,27–5,78mai sigur0,06–2,980,62–3,390,68–6,37
Cartonașe galbene
27%
21%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,452,083,53sigur0,40–2,500,95–3,211,35–5,71mai sigur0,14–2,770,66–3,500,80–6,27
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,090,14sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,77
Parade portar
30%
15%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,903,726,62sigur1,47–4,342,16–5,283,63–9,61mai sigur1,08–4,731,74–5,702,82–10,43
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,86 0,89–2,83 0,64–3,08 | 1,20 0,34–2,05 0,11–2,28 | 3,06 1,24–4,88 0,76–5,36 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,77 3,91–7,63 3,42–8,12 | 4,15 2,40–5,89 1,94–6,35 | 9,91 6,31–13,52 5,35–14,48 | 64% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 16,82 12,90–20,75 11,81–21,84 | 12,12 8,56–15,69 7,60–16,65 | 28,94 21,46–36,43 19,41–38,48 | 78% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,09 8,15–14,03 7,32–14,86 | 8,57 5,89–11,25 5,15–11,99 | 19,66 14,04–25,28 12,47–26,85 | 68% 25% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,05 3,17–6,94 2,63–7,48 | 3,49 1,83–5,14 1,34–5,63 | 8,54 5,00–12,07 3,97–13,11 | 64% 24% |
| Cornere | 6,27 4,06–8,49 3,49–9,06 | 3,93 1,93–5,93 1,40–6,46 | 10,20 5,99–14,42 4,88–15,52 | 72% 18% |
| Posesie % | 58,69 51,90–65,48 50,23–67,15 | 41,77 34,98–48,55 33,31–50,22 | — | 83% 14% |
| Pase | 576 509–644 491–662 | 377 310–443 293–461 | 953 820–1087 784–1123 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,76 69,73–77,79 68,43–79,08 | 68,70 64,37–73,02 63,06–74,33 | — | 72% 24% |
| Faulturi | 10,45 7,61–13,29 6,86–14,05 | 11,88 8,93–14,82 8,18–15,57 | 22,33 16,55–28,11 15,04–29,62 | 34% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,52 0,36–2,68 0,06–2,98 | 2,01 0,91–3,10 0,62–3,39 | 3,53 1,27–5,78 0,68–6,37 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,45 0,40–2,50 0,14–2,77 | 2,08 0,95–3,21 0,66–3,50 | 3,53 1,35–5,71 0,80–6,27 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,90 1,47–4,34 1,08–4,73 | 3,72 2,16–5,28 1,74–5,70 | 6,62 3,63–9,61 2,82–10,43 | 30% 15% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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