Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 30·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
24%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,122,79sigur0,70–2,640,27–1,980,97–4,61mai sigur0,45–2,890,04–2,200,49–5,09
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,133,788,91sigur3,27–6,992,03–5,525,30–12,51mai sigur2,78–7,481,57–5,984,35–13,47
Total șuturi
77%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,3210,9726,28sigur11,39–19,247,40–14,5318,80–33,77mai sigur10,30–20,336,44–15,4916,74–35,82
Șuturi din careu
79%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,336,5916,92sigur7,39–13,273,91–9,2711,30–22,54mai sigur6,56–14,103,17–10,019,73–24,11
Șuturi blocate
49%
15%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,953,527,47sigur2,07–5,841,86–5,173,93–11,00mai sigur1,53–6,381,37–5,662,90–12,04
Cornere
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,424,289,70sigur3,21–7,642,28–6,285,49–13,92mai sigur2,64–8,211,75–6,814,38–15,03
Posesie %
39%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,3152,09sigur41,52–55,1045,30–58,87mai sigur39,85–56,7743,63–60,54
Pase
38%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție438476914sigur371–505409–542780–1048mai sigur353–524392–560745–1083
Precizie pase %
17%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,6270,57sigur59,59–67,6566,24–74,89mai sigur58,30–68,9464,93–76,20
Faulturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3311,1823,52sigur9,50–15,178,24–14,1317,74–29,30mai sigur8,74–15,937,49–14,8816,23–30,80
Ofsaiduri
25%
18%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,682,564,24sigur0,52–2,841,47–3,661,99–6,50mai sigur0,22–3,141,18–3,941,40–7,08
Cartonașe galbene
41%
22%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,773,62sigur0,81–2,910,64–2,891,44–5,80mai sigur0,54–3,170,35–3,190,89–6,36
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,100,20sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,280,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,420,00–0,83
Parade portar
26%
16%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,373,415,78sigur0,93–3,801,86–4,972,79–8,77mai sigur0,54–4,191,43–5,391,98–9,59
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,67 0,70–2,64 0,45–2,89 | 1,12 0,27–1,98 0,04–2,20 | 2,79 0,97–4,61 0,49–5,09 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,13 3,27–6,99 2,78–7,48 | 3,78 2,03–5,52 1,57–5,98 | 8,91 5,30–12,51 4,35–13,47 | 61% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 15,32 11,39–19,24 10,30–20,33 | 10,97 7,40–14,53 6,44–15,49 | 26,28 18,80–33,77 16,74–35,82 | 77% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,33 7,39–13,27 6,56–14,10 | 6,59 3,91–9,27 3,17–10,01 | 16,92 11,30–22,54 9,73–24,11 | 79% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,95 2,07–5,84 1,53–6,38 | 3,52 1,86–5,17 1,37–5,66 | 7,47 3,93–11,00 2,90–12,04 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Cornere | 5,42 3,21–7,64 2,64–8,21 | 4,28 2,28–6,28 1,75–6,81 | 9,70 5,49–13,92 4,38–15,03 | 58% 30% |
| Posesie % | 48,31 41,52–55,10 39,85–56,77 | 52,09 45,30–58,87 43,63–60,54 | — | 39% 57% |
| Pase | 438 371–505 353–524 | 476 409–542 392–560 | 914 780–1048 745–1083 | 38% 62% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,62 59,59–67,65 58,30–68,94 | 70,57 66,24–74,89 64,93–76,20 | — | 17% 80% |
| Faulturi | 12,33 9,50–15,17 8,74–15,93 | 11,18 8,24–14,13 7,49–14,88 | 23,52 17,74–29,30 16,23–30,80 | 55% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,68 0,52–2,84 0,22–3,14 | 2,56 1,47–3,66 1,18–3,94 | 4,24 1,99–6,50 1,40–7,08 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,86 0,81–2,91 0,54–3,17 | 1,77 0,64–2,89 0,35–3,19 | 3,62 1,44–5,80 0,89–6,36 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,37 0,93–3,80 0,54–4,19 | 3,41 1,86–4,97 1,43–5,39 | 5,78 2,79–8,77 1,98–9,59 | 26% 16% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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