Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 30·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
25%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,251,592,84sigur0,28–2,220,73–2,441,02–4,66mai sigur0,03–2,470,51–2,670,54–5,14
Șuturi pe poartă
27%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,145,509,64sigur2,28–6,013,75–7,246,04–13,25mai sigur1,79–6,503,29–7,715,08–14,20
Total șuturi
30%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4414,6027,04sigur8,52–16,3711,03–18,1619,55–34,53mai sigur7,43–17,4610,08–19,1217,50–36,58
Șuturi din careu
31%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,5710,2618,83sigur5,63–11,517,58–12,9413,21–24,45mai sigur4,80–12,346,84–13,6811,64–26,02
Șuturi blocate
31%
14%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,504,427,92sigur1,62–5,392,76–6,074,38–11,45mai sigur1,08–5,932,27–6,563,35–12,49
Cornere
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,715,5510,26sigur2,49–6,923,55–7,556,04–14,47mai sigur1,92–7,493,01–8,084,94–15,58
Posesie %
29%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,1054,33sigur39,31–52,8947,55–61,12mai sigur37,64–54,5645,88–62,79
Pase
26%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție428503931sigur360–495437–569797–1064mai sigur342–513419–587761–1100
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,2376,14sigur63,20–71,2671,81–80,46mai sigur61,91–72,5570,50–81,77
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0911,6321,71sigur7,25–12,928,68–14,5715,93–27,50mai sigur6,49–13,687,93–15,3214,43–29,00
Ofsaiduri
41%
22%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,821,703,51sigur0,66–2,980,60–2,791,26–5,77mai sigur0,36–3,280,31–3,080,67–6,36
Cartonașe galbene
35%
23%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,723,25sigur0,49–2,590,59–2,851,08–5,43mai sigur0,22–2,850,30–3,140,52–5,99
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
51%
16%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,462,866,32sigur2,03–4,901,30–4,423,33–9,31mai sigur1,64–5,290,88–4,842,52–10,13
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,25 0,28–2,22 0,03–2,47 | 1,59 0,73–2,44 0,51–2,67 | 2,84 1,02–4,66 0,54–5,14 | 30% 25% 45% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,14 2,28–6,01 1,79–6,50 | 5,50 3,75–7,24 3,29–7,71 | 9,64 6,04–13,25 5,08–14,20 | 27% 61% |
| Total șuturi | 12,44 8,52–16,37 7,43–17,46 | 14,60 11,03–18,16 10,08–19,12 | 27,04 19,55–34,53 17,50–36,58 | 30% 62% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,57 5,63–11,51 4,80–12,34 | 10,26 7,58–12,94 6,84–13,68 | 18,83 13,21–24,45 11,64–26,02 | 31% 61% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,50 1,62–5,39 1,08–5,93 | 4,42 2,76–6,07 2,27–6,56 | 7,92 4,38–11,45 3,35–12,49 | 31% 14% 56% |
| Cornere | 4,71 2,49–6,92 1,92–7,49 | 5,55 3,55–7,55 3,01–8,08 | 10,26 6,04–14,47 4,94–15,58 | 34% 54% |
| Posesie % | 46,10 39,31–52,89 37,64–54,56 | 54,33 47,55–61,12 45,88–62,79 | — | 29% 67% |
| Pase | 428 360–495 342–513 | 503 437–569 419–587 | 931 797–1064 761–1100 | 26% 73% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,23 63,20–71,26 61,91–72,55 | 76,14 71,81–80,46 70,50–81,77 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 10,09 7,25–12,92 6,49–13,68 | 11,63 8,68–14,57 7,93–15,32 | 21,71 15,93–27,50 14,43–29,00 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,82 0,66–2,98 0,36–3,28 | 1,70 0,60–2,79 0,31–3,08 | 3,51 1,26–5,77 0,67–6,36 | 41% 22% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,59 0,22–2,85 | 1,72 0,59–2,85 0,30–3,14 | 3,25 1,08–5,43 0,52–5,99 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,46 2,03–4,90 1,64–5,29 | 2,86 1,30–4,42 0,88–4,84 | 6,32 3,33–9,31 2,52–10,13 | 51% 16% 33% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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