Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 30·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
27%
25%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,131,592,73sigur0,16–2,100,74–2,450,90–4,55mai sigur0,00–2,350,51–2,680,42–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
36%
14%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,884,388,27sigur2,02–5,752,64–6,124,66–11,87mai sigur1,53–6,242,17–6,593,71–12,83
Total șuturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2812,5025,78sigur9,35–17,208,94–16,0618,29–33,26mai sigur8,26–18,297,98–17,0216,24–35,31
Șuturi din careu
43%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,508,6817,19sigur5,56–11,456,00–11,3611,56–22,81mai sigur4,73–12,285,26–12,1010,00–24,38
Șuturi blocate
46%
15%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,773,517,28sigur1,89–5,651,85–5,163,74–10,81mai sigur1,35–6,201,36–5,652,71–11,85
Cornere
33%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,585,4710,06sigur2,37–6,803,47–7,475,85–14,27mai sigur1,80–7,372,94–8,014,74–15,38
Posesie %
21%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,4056,23sigur36,61–50,1949,45–63,02mai sigur34,94–51,8647,78–64,69
Pase
19%
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție387491878sigur320–454424–557744–1011mai sigur302–472407–575708–1047
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,9270,93sigur57,89–65,9566,60–75,25mai sigur56,60–67,2465,29–76,56
Faulturi
63%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0410,0122,05sigur9,20–14,887,06–12,9516,26–27,83mai sigur8,45–15,636,31–13,7014,76–29,33
Ofsaiduri
34%
21%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,842,153,98sigur0,68–3,001,05–3,241,73–6,24mai sigur0,38–3,300,76–3,531,14–6,83
Cartonașe galbene
41%
23%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,623,33sigur0,66–2,760,49–2,741,15–5,51mai sigur0,40–3,030,20–3,040,59–6,07
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
44%
17%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,922,785,70sigur1,48–4,361,22–4,332,71–8,69mai sigur1,10–4,740,80–4,761,89–9,50
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,13 0,16–2,10 0,00–2,35 | 1,59 0,74–2,45 0,51–2,68 | 2,73 0,90–4,55 0,42–5,03 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,88 2,02–5,75 1,53–6,24 | 4,38 2,64–6,12 2,17–6,59 | 8,27 4,66–11,87 3,71–12,83 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Total șuturi | 13,28 9,35–17,20 8,26–18,29 | 12,50 8,94–16,06 7,98–17,02 | 25,78 18,29–33,26 16,24–35,31 | 52% 40% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,50 5,56–11,45 4,73–12,28 | 8,68 6,00–11,36 5,26–12,10 | 17,19 11,56–22,81 10,00–24,38 | 43% 47% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,77 1,89–5,65 1,35–6,20 | 3,51 1,85–5,16 1,36–5,65 | 7,28 3,74–10,81 2,71–11,85 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Cornere | 4,58 2,37–6,80 1,80–7,37 | 5,47 3,47–7,47 2,94–8,01 | 10,06 5,85–14,27 4,74–15,38 | 33% 55% |
| Posesie % | 43,40 36,61–50,19 34,94–51,86 | 56,23 49,45–63,02 47,78–64,69 | — | 21% 76% |
| Pase | 387 320–454 302–472 | 491 424–557 407–575 | 878 744–1011 708–1047 | 19% 81% |
| Precizie pase % | 61,92 57,89–65,95 56,60–67,24 | 70,93 66,60–75,25 65,29–76,56 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 12,04 9,20–14,88 8,45–15,63 | 10,01 7,06–12,95 6,31–13,70 | 22,05 16,26–27,83 14,76–29,33 | 63% 29% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,84 0,68–3,00 0,38–3,30 | 2,15 1,05–3,24 0,76–3,53 | 3,98 1,73–6,24 1,14–6,83 | 34% 21% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,71 0,66–2,76 0,40–3,03 | 1,62 0,49–2,74 0,20–3,04 | 3,33 1,15–5,51 0,59–6,07 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,92 1,48–4,36 1,10–4,74 | 2,78 1,22–4,33 0,80–4,76 | 5,70 2,71–8,69 1,89–9,50 | 44% 17% 39% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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