Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
26%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,062,53sigur0,50–2,440,21–1,910,71–4,35mai sigur0,25–2,690,00–2,140,23–4,83
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
13%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,633,638,27sigur2,77–6,491,89–5,384,66–11,87mai sigur2,28–6,981,43–5,843,71–12,83
Total șuturi
62%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8911,8825,76sigur9,96–17,818,31–15,4418,28–33,25mai sigur8,87–18,907,36–16,4016,23–35,30
Șuturi din careu
58%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,027,6716,69sigur6,08–11,964,99–10,3511,07–22,31mai sigur5,25–12,794,25–11,089,50–23,88
Șuturi blocate
50%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,462,936,40sigur1,58–5,351,28–4,592,86–9,93mai sigur1,04–5,890,79–5,081,83–10,97
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,864,2910,14sigur3,64–8,072,29–6,295,93–14,36mai sigur3,07–8,641,75–6,824,82–15,47
Posesie %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,8342,70sigur51,04–64,6235,91–49,48mai sigur49,37–66,2934,24–51,15
Pase
85%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție524399924sigur457–592333–466790–1057mai sigur439–610315–483754–1093
Precizie pase %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,1466,86sigur64,11–72,1762,54–71,19mai sigur62,82–73,4661,23–72,50
Faulturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2912,6022,89sigur7,45–13,139,66–15,5517,11–28,68mai sigur6,70–13,888,91–16,3015,61–30,18
Ofsaiduri
46%
20%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,281,994,27sigur1,12–3,440,90–3,082,02–6,52mai sigur0,82–3,740,61–3,371,43–7,11
Cartonașe galbene
29%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,943,41sigur0,42–2,510,81–3,071,23–5,59mai sigur0,15–2,780,52–3,360,67–6,14
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
34%
17%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,613,075,68sigur1,18–4,051,51–4,622,69–8,67mai sigur0,79–4,441,09–5,051,88–9,49
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,47 0,50–2,44 0,25–2,69 | 1,06 0,21–1,91 0,00–2,14 | 2,53 0,71–4,35 0,23–4,83 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,63 2,77–6,49 2,28–6,98 | 3,63 1,89–5,38 1,43–5,84 | 8,27 4,66–11,87 3,71–12,83 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 13,89 9,96–17,81 8,87–18,90 | 11,88 8,31–15,44 7,36–16,40 | 25,76 18,28–33,25 16,23–35,30 | 62% 31% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,02 6,08–11,96 5,25–12,79 | 7,67 4,99–10,35 4,25–11,08 | 16,69 11,07–22,31 9,50–23,88 | 58% 32% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,46 1,58–5,35 1,04–5,89 | 2,93 1,28–4,59 0,79–5,08 | 6,40 2,86–9,93 1,83–10,97 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,86 3,64–8,07 3,07–8,64 | 4,29 2,29–6,29 1,75–6,82 | 10,14 5,93–14,36 4,82–15,47 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 57,83 51,04–64,62 49,37–66,29 | 42,70 35,91–49,48 34,24–51,15 | — | 80% 17% |
| Pase | 524 457–592 439–610 | 399 333–466 315–483 | 924 790–1057 754–1093 | 85% 15% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,14 64,11–72,17 62,82–73,46 | 66,86 62,54–71,19 61,23–72,50 | — | 54% 41% |
| Faulturi | 10,29 7,45–13,13 6,70–13,88 | 12,60 9,66–15,55 8,91–16,30 | 22,89 17,11–28,68 15,61–30,18 | 28% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,28 1,12–3,44 0,82–3,74 | 1,99 0,90–3,08 0,61–3,37 | 4,27 2,02–6,52 1,43–7,11 | 46% 20% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,47 0,42–2,51 0,15–2,78 | 1,94 0,81–3,07 0,52–3,36 | 3,41 1,23–5,59 0,67–6,14 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,61 1,18–4,05 0,79–4,44 | 3,07 1,51–4,62 1,09–5,05 | 5,68 2,69–8,67 1,88–9,49 | 34% 17% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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