Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
24%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,202,84sigur0,68–2,610,34–2,051,02–4,66mai sigur0,42–2,860,12–2,280,54–5,14
Șuturi pe poartă
52%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,994,329,30sigur3,13–6,852,57–6,065,70–12,91mai sigur2,64–7,342,11–6,524,74–13,86
Total șuturi
65%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2412,7628,00sigur11,32–19,179,19–16,3220,51–35,49mai sigur10,22–20,268,24–17,2818,46–37,54
Șuturi din careu
68%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,357,9018,24sigur7,40–13,295,21–10,5812,62–23,86mai sigur6,57–14,124,48–11,3111,05–25,43
Șuturi blocate
50%
14%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,333,828,15sigur2,45–6,222,17–5,474,62–11,69mai sigur1,91–6,761,68–5,973,58–12,73
Cornere
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,214,5010,72sigur4,00–8,432,50–6,506,50–14,93mai sigur3,43–9,001,97–7,045,39–16,04
Posesie %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,3048,64sigur44,51–58,0941,86–55,43mai sigur42,84–59,7640,19–57,10
Pase
59%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție435407842sigur368–503340–473708–976mai sigur350–521323–491673–1011
Precizie pase %
22%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,4069,76sigur60,38–68,4365,44–74,09mai sigur59,08–69,7364,13–75,40
Faulturi
23%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1014,3425,44sigur8,26–13,9411,39–17,2819,66–31,22mai sigur7,51–14,6910,64–18,0318,15–32,72
Ofsaiduri
52%
22%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,293,19sigur0,74–3,060,20–2,380,93–5,44mai sigur0,44–3,360,00–2,670,35–6,03
Cartonașe galbene
30%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,592,073,66sigur0,54–2,640,94–3,201,48–5,84mai sigur0,27–2,900,65–3,490,92–6,40
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
36%
17%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,803,175,97sigur1,37–4,241,62–4,732,98–8,97mai sigur0,98–4,631,19–5,152,17–9,78
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,64 0,68–2,61 0,42–2,86 | 1,20 0,34–2,05 0,12–2,28 | 2,84 1,02–4,66 0,54–5,14 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,99 3,13–6,85 2,64–7,34 | 4,32 2,57–6,06 2,11–6,52 | 9,30 5,70–12,91 4,74–13,86 | 52% 35% |
| Total șuturi | 15,24 11,32–19,17 10,22–20,26 | 12,76 9,19–16,32 8,24–17,28 | 28,00 20,51–35,49 18,46–37,54 | 65% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,35 7,40–13,29 6,57–14,12 | 7,90 5,21–10,58 4,48–11,31 | 18,24 12,62–23,86 11,05–25,43 | 68% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,33 2,45–6,22 1,91–6,76 | 3,82 2,17–5,47 1,68–5,97 | 8,15 4,62–11,69 3,58–12,73 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Cornere | 6,21 4,00–8,43 3,43–9,00 | 4,50 2,50–6,50 1,97–7,04 | 10,72 6,50–14,93 5,39–16,04 | 64% 25% |
| Posesie % | 51,30 44,51–58,09 42,84–59,76 | 48,64 41,86–55,43 40,19–57,10 | — | 54% 41% |
| Pase | 435 368–503 350–521 | 407 340–473 323–491 | 842 708–976 673–1011 | 59% 40% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,40 60,38–68,43 59,08–69,73 | 69,76 65,44–74,09 64,13–75,40 | — | 22% 73% |
| Faulturi | 11,10 8,26–13,94 7,51–14,69 | 14,34 11,39–17,28 10,64–18,03 | 25,44 19,66–31,22 18,15–32,72 | 23% 71% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,44–3,36 | 1,29 0,20–2,38 0,00–2,67 | 3,19 0,93–5,44 0,35–6,03 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,59 0,54–2,64 0,27–2,90 | 2,07 0,94–3,20 0,65–3,49 | 3,66 1,48–5,84 0,92–6,40 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,80 1,37–4,24 0,98–4,63 | 3,17 1,62–4,73 1,19–5,15 | 5,97 2,98–8,97 2,17–9,78 | 36% 17% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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