Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,410,773,18sigur1,44–3,380,00–1,621,35–5,00mai sigur1,19–3,630,00–1,850,87–5,48
Șuturi pe poartă
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,813,109,91sigur4,95–8,671,35–4,846,30–13,51mai sigur4,46–9,160,89–5,305,35–14,47
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,619,7328,34sigur14,69–22,546,17–13,2920,86–35,83mai sigur13,60–23,635,21–14,2518,81–37,88
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,375,8218,19sigur9,42–15,313,14–8,5012,57–23,81mai sigur8,59–16,142,40–9,2411,00–25,38
Șuturi blocate
67%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,412,727,13sigur2,53–6,301,07–4,373,60–10,67mai sigur1,99–6,840,57–4,862,56–11,70
Cornere
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,103,4610,56sigur4,89–9,311,46–5,466,35–14,77mai sigur4,31–9,890,93–5,995,24–15,88
Posesie %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,0842,68sigur50,29–63,8735,89–49,46mai sigur48,62–65,5434,22–51,13
Pase
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție550392942sigur483–617326–459808–1076mai sigur465–635308–476773–1112
Precizie pase %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,4267,46sigur64,39–72,4563,14–71,78mai sigur63,10–73,7461,83–73,09
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9111,6222,53sigur8,08–13,758,67–14,5616,75–28,31mai sigur7,32–14,517,92–15,3115,24–29,82
Ofsaiduri
48%
22%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,921,483,40sigur0,76–3,080,38–2,571,14–5,65mai sigur0,46–3,380,10–2,860,55–6,24
Cartonașe galbene
25%
20%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,462,213,66sigur0,41–2,511,08–3,331,49–5,84mai sigur0,14–2,770,79–3,630,93–6,40
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,140,20sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,330,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,460,00–0,83
Parade portar
16%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,234,266,49sigur0,80–3,672,70–5,813,50–9,48mai sigur0,41–4,062,28–6,242,69–10,30
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,41 1,44–3,38 1,19–3,63 | 0,77 0,00–1,62 0,00–1,85 | 3,18 1,35–5,00 0,87–5,48 | 74% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,81 4,95–8,67 4,46–9,16 | 3,10 1,35–4,84 0,89–5,30 | 9,91 6,30–13,51 5,35–14,47 | 85% |
| Total șuturi | 18,61 14,69–22,54 13,60–23,63 | 9,73 6,17–13,29 5,21–14,25 | 28,34 20,86–35,83 18,81–37,88 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,37 9,42–15,31 8,59–16,14 | 5,82 3,14–8,50 2,40–9,24 | 18,19 12,57–23,81 11,00–25,38 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,41 2,53–6,30 1,99–6,84 | 2,72 1,07–4,37 0,57–4,86 | 7,13 3,60–10,67 2,56–11,70 | 67% 20% |
| Cornere | 7,10 4,89–9,31 4,31–9,89 | 3,46 1,46–5,46 0,93–5,99 | 10,56 6,35–14,77 5,24–15,88 | 84% |
| Posesie % | 57,08 50,29–63,87 48,62–65,54 | 42,68 35,89–49,46 34,22–51,13 | — | 79% 18% |
| Pase | 550 483–617 465–635 | 392 326–459 308–476 | 942 808–1076 773–1112 | 91% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,42 64,39–72,45 63,10–73,74 | 67,46 63,14–71,78 61,83–73,09 | — | 52% 43% |
| Faulturi | 10,91 8,08–13,75 7,32–14,51 | 11,62 8,67–14,56 7,92–15,31 | 22,53 16,75–28,31 15,24–29,82 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,92 0,76–3,08 0,46–3,38 | 1,48 0,38–2,57 0,10–2,86 | 3,40 1,14–5,65 0,55–6,24 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,46 0,41–2,51 0,14–2,77 | 2,21 1,08–3,33 0,79–3,63 | 3,66 1,49–5,84 0,93–6,40 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,23 0,80–3,67 0,41–4,06 | 4,26 2,70–5,81 2,28–6,24 | 6,49 3,50–9,48 2,69–10,30 | 16% 72% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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