Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
49%
25%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,631,142,77sigur0,66–2,600,29–2,000,95–4,60mai sigur0,41–2,850,06–2,220,47–5,08
Șuturi pe poartă
55%
13%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,743,888,62sigur2,87–6,602,14–5,625,01–12,22mai sigur2,38–7,091,67–6,094,06–13,18
Total șuturi
66%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2112,5527,75sigur11,28–19,138,98–16,1120,27–35,24mai sigur10,19–20,228,02–17,0718,22–37,29
Șuturi din careu
63%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,898,0317,92sigur6,94–12,835,35–10,7112,30–23,54mai sigur6,11–13,664,61–11,4510,73–25,11
Șuturi blocate
50%
14%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,393,918,30sigur2,50–6,272,26–5,564,76–11,83mai sigur1,96–6,811,76–6,053,72–12,87
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,814,4610,27sigur3,60–8,022,46–6,466,05–14,48mai sigur3,02–8,601,93–6,994,95–15,59
Posesie %
53%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,6849,40sigur44,89–58,4742,61–56,18mai sigur43,22–60,1440,94–57,86
Pase
63%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție471432903sigur404–539365–498769–1037mai sigur386–557348–516734–1073
Precizie pase %
25%
71%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,6471,40sigur62,61–70,6767,08–75,73mai sigur61,31–71,9665,77–77,04
Faulturi
33%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3811,8922,27sigur7,54–13,228,95–14,8416,49–28,05mai sigur6,79–13,978,20–15,5814,98–29,56
Ofsaiduri
48%
21%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,081,673,75sigur0,92–3,240,58–2,761,50–6,01mai sigur0,62–3,550,29–3,050,91–6,60
Cartonașe galbene
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,533,04sigur0,46–2,560,40–2,660,86–5,22mai sigur0,20–2,830,11–2,950,30–5,78
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
34%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,623,115,73sigur1,18–4,051,56–4,672,74–8,72mai sigur0,79–4,441,13–5,091,92–9,53
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,63 0,66–2,60 0,41–2,85 | 1,14 0,29–2,00 0,06–2,22 | 2,77 0,95–4,60 0,47–5,08 | 49% 25% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,74 2,87–6,60 2,38–7,09 | 3,88 2,14–5,62 1,67–6,09 | 8,62 5,01–12,22 4,06–13,18 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total șuturi | 15,21 11,28–19,13 10,19–20,22 | 12,55 8,98–16,11 8,02–17,07 | 27,75 20,27–35,24 18,22–37,29 | 66% 27% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,89 6,94–12,83 6,11–13,66 | 8,03 5,35–10,71 4,61–11,45 | 17,92 12,30–23,54 10,73–25,11 | 63% 29% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,39 2,50–6,27 1,96–6,81 | 3,91 2,26–5,56 1,76–6,05 | 8,30 4,76–11,83 3,72–12,87 | 50% 14% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,81 3,60–8,02 3,02–8,60 | 4,46 2,46–6,46 1,93–6,99 | 10,27 6,05–14,48 4,95–15,59 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 51,68 44,89–58,47 43,22–60,14 | 49,40 42,61–56,18 40,94–57,86 | — | 53% 42% |
| Pase | 471 404–539 386–557 | 432 365–498 348–516 | 903 769–1037 734–1073 | 63% 37% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,64 62,61–70,67 61,31–71,96 | 71,40 67,08–75,73 65,77–77,04 | — | 25% 71% |
| Faulturi | 10,38 7,54–13,22 6,79–13,97 | 11,89 8,95–14,84 8,20–15,58 | 22,27 16,49–28,05 14,98–29,56 | 33% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,08 0,92–3,24 0,62–3,55 | 1,67 0,58–2,76 0,29–3,05 | 3,75 1,50–6,01 0,91–6,60 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,51 0,46–2,56 0,20–2,83 | 1,53 0,40–2,66 0,11–2,95 | 3,04 0,86–5,22 0,30–5,78 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,62 1,18–4,05 0,79–4,44 | 3,11 1,56–4,67 1,13–5,09 | 5,73 2,74–8,72 1,92–9,53 | 34% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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