Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 31·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
25%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,442,92sigur0,51–2,450,58–2,291,09–4,74mai sigur0,26–2,700,35–2,520,61–5,22
Șuturi pe poartă
47%
13%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,784,519,29sigur2,91–6,642,77–6,265,69–12,90mai sigur2,43–7,132,31–6,724,73–13,85
Total șuturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9013,1427,04sigur9,97–17,829,58–16,7019,55–34,53mai sigur8,88–18,918,62–17,6617,50–36,58
Șuturi din careu
54%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,588,6518,24sigur6,64–12,535,97–11,3312,61–23,86mai sigur5,81–13,365,23–12,0711,05–25,43
Șuturi blocate
39%
15%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,653,917,56sigur1,77–5,542,26–5,564,03–11,10mai sigur1,23–6,081,76–6,052,99–12,13
Cornere
44%
13%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,724,669,38sigur2,50–6,932,66–6,665,17–13,59mai sigur1,93–7,502,13–7,204,06–14,70
Posesie %
34%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,1753,12sigur40,38–53,9646,34–59,91mai sigur38,71–55,6344,67–61,58
Pase
40%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție448478926sigur381–515411–544792–1060mai sigur363–534394–562756–1095
Precizie pase %
18%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,9575,49sigur64,92–72,9871,17–79,81mai sigur63,62–74,2769,86–81,12
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2712,1123,38sigur8,43–14,109,17–15,0617,60–29,16mai sigur7,67–14,868,42–15,8116,09–30,67
Ofsaiduri
66%
15%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,191,754,94sigur2,03–4,360,65–2,842,69–7,19mai sigur1,73–4,660,36–3,132,10–7,78
Cartonașe galbene
36%
22%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,793,45sigur0,62–2,720,66–2,921,28–5,63mai sigur0,35–2,980,37–3,210,72–6,19
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
40%
17%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,993,106,09sigur1,55–4,421,54–4,663,10–9,08mai sigur1,16–4,811,12–5,082,28–9,89
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,48 0,51–2,45 0,26–2,70 | 1,44 0,58–2,29 0,35–2,52 | 2,92 1,09–4,74 0,61–5,22 | 39% 25% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,78 2,91–6,64 2,43–7,13 | 4,51 2,77–6,26 2,31–6,72 | 9,29 5,69–12,90 4,73–13,85 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total șuturi | 13,90 9,97–17,82 8,88–18,91 | 13,14 9,58–16,70 8,62–17,66 | 27,04 19,55–34,53 17,50–36,58 | 52% 40% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,58 6,64–12,53 5,81–13,36 | 8,65 5,97–11,33 5,23–12,07 | 18,24 12,61–23,86 11,05–25,43 | 54% 37% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,65 1,77–5,54 1,23–6,08 | 3,91 2,26–5,56 1,76–6,05 | 7,56 4,03–11,10 2,99–12,13 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Cornere | 4,72 2,50–6,93 1,93–7,50 | 4,66 2,66–6,66 2,13–7,20 | 9,38 5,17–13,59 4,06–14,70 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Posesie % | 47,17 40,38–53,96 38,71–55,63 | 53,12 46,34–59,91 44,67–61,58 | — | 34% 62% |
| Pase | 448 381–515 363–534 | 478 411–544 394–562 | 926 792–1060 756–1095 | 40% 60% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,95 64,92–72,98 63,62–74,27 | 75,49 71,17–79,81 69,86–81,12 | — | 18% 78% |
| Faulturi | 11,27 8,43–14,10 7,67–14,86 | 12,11 9,17–15,06 8,42–15,81 | 23,38 17,60–29,16 16,09–30,67 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,19 2,03–4,36 1,73–4,66 | 1,75 0,65–2,84 0,36–3,13 | 4,94 2,69–7,19 2,10–7,78 | 66% 15% 18% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,62–2,72 0,35–2,98 | 1,79 0,66–2,92 0,37–3,21 | 3,45 1,28–5,63 0,72–6,19 | 36% 22% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,99 1,55–4,42 1,16–4,81 | 3,10 1,54–4,66 1,12–5,08 | 6,09 3,10–9,08 2,28–9,89 | 40% 17% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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