Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
68%
18%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,290,923,21sigur1,33–3,260,06–1,771,39–5,03mai sigur1,07–3,510,00–2,000,91–5,51
Șuturi pe poartă
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,603,8310,43sigur4,74–8,462,09–5,576,83–14,04mai sigur4,25–8,951,62–6,045,87–14,99
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,9810,4829,46sigur15,06–22,916,92–14,0421,98–36,95mai sigur13,97–24,005,96–15,0019,92–39,00
Șuturi din careu
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,896,3818,27sigur8,95–14,843,70–9,0612,65–23,90mai sigur8,12–15,672,96–9,8011,08–25,46
Șuturi blocate
72%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,662,627,28sigur2,78–6,550,96–4,273,75–10,82mai sigur2,24–7,090,47–4,762,71–11,85
Cornere
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,133,4910,63sigur4,92–9,351,49–5,496,42–14,84mai sigur4,35–9,920,96–6,035,31–15,95
Posesie %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,2438,98sigur54,45–68,0332,19–45,76mai sigur52,78–69,7030,52–47,43
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție551349900sigur483–618283–416766–1034mai sigur465–636265–433731–1069
Precizie pase %
78%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,6367,05sigur69,60–77,6662,73–71,37mai sigur68,31–78,9561,42–72,68
Faulturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9812,7123,68sigur8,14–13,819,76–15,6517,90–29,46mai sigur7,38–14,579,01–16,4016,39–30,97
Ofsaiduri
18%
15%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,833,325,16sigur0,67–2,992,23–4,422,90–7,41mai sigur0,37–3,291,94–4,702,31–8,00
Cartonașe galbene
30%
22%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,963,49sigur0,48–2,580,83–3,091,31–5,67mai sigur0,21–2,840,54–3,380,76–6,23
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
18%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,514,326,82sigur1,07–3,942,76–5,873,83–9,82mai sigur0,68–4,332,33–6,303,02–10,63
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,29 1,33–3,26 1,07–3,51 | 0,92 0,06–1,77 0,00–2,00 | 3,21 1,39–5,03 0,91–5,51 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,60 4,74–8,46 4,25–8,95 | 3,83 2,09–5,57 1,62–6,04 | 10,43 6,83–14,04 5,87–14,99 | 76% 15% |
| Total șuturi | 18,98 15,06–22,91 13,97–24,00 | 10,48 6,92–14,04 5,96–15,00 | 29,46 21,98–36,95 19,92–39,00 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,89 8,95–14,84 8,12–15,67 | 6,38 3,70–9,06 2,96–9,80 | 18,27 12,65–23,90 11,08–25,46 | 88% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,66 2,78–6,55 2,24–7,09 | 2,62 0,96–4,27 0,47–4,76 | 7,28 3,75–10,82 2,71–11,85 | 72% 17% |
| Cornere | 7,13 4,92–9,35 4,35–9,92 | 3,49 1,49–5,49 0,96–6,03 | 10,63 6,42–14,84 5,31–15,95 | 83% |
| Posesie % | 61,24 54,45–68,03 52,78–69,70 | 38,98 32,19–45,76 30,52–47,43 | — | 90% |
| Pase | 551 483–618 465–636 | 349 283–416 265–433 | 900 766–1034 731–1069 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,63 69,60–77,66 68,31–78,95 | 67,05 62,73–71,37 61,42–72,68 | — | 78% 18% |
| Faulturi | 10,98 8,14–13,81 7,38–14,57 | 12,71 9,76–15,65 9,01–16,40 | 23,68 17,90–29,46 16,39–30,97 | 32% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,83 0,67–2,99 0,37–3,29 | 3,32 2,23–4,42 1,94–4,70 | 5,16 2,90–7,41 2,31–8,00 | 18% 15% 67% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,53 0,48–2,58 0,21–2,84 | 1,96 0,83–3,09 0,54–3,38 | 3,49 1,31–5,67 0,76–6,23 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,51 1,07–3,94 0,68–4,33 | 4,32 2,76–5,87 2,33–6,30 | 6,82 3,83–9,82 3,02–10,63 | 18% 69% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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