Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
27%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,391,122,50sigur0,42–2,350,26–1,970,68–4,33mai sigur0,17–2,610,03–2,200,20–4,81
Șuturi pe poartă
53%
13%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,653,898,54sigur2,79–6,512,15–5,644,94–12,15mai sigur2,30–7,001,68–6,103,98–13,10
Total șuturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9611,6924,64sigur9,03–16,888,12–15,2517,15–32,13mai sigur7,94–17,977,16–16,2115,10–34,18
Șuturi din careu
63%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,107,3016,40sigur6,16–12,044,62–9,9810,78–22,02mai sigur5,33–12,873,88–10,729,21–23,59
Șuturi blocate
42%
15%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,553,587,13sigur1,67–5,441,92–5,233,60–10,67mai sigur1,13–5,981,43–5,722,56–11,70
Cornere
54%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,154,329,47sigur2,94–7,362,32–6,325,25–13,68mai sigur2,36–7,941,79–6,854,15–14,79
Posesie %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,3655,62sigur37,57–51,1548,84–62,40mai sigur35,90–52,8247,16–64,08
Pase
18%
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție403513917sigur336–470447–580783–1050mai sigur318–489429–597747–1086
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,5872,07sigur59,55–67,6167,74–76,39mai sigur58,26–68,9066,43–77,70
Faulturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5711,3423,91sigur9,73–15,418,40–14,2918,13–29,69mai sigur8,98–16,167,65–15,0416,63–31,20
Ofsaiduri
48%
23%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,443,30sigur0,70–3,020,34–2,531,04–5,55mai sigur0,40–3,320,06–2,820,45–6,14
Cartonașe galbene
41%
23%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,563,25sigur0,63–2,730,43–2,691,07–5,42mai sigur0,37–3,000,14–2,980,51–5,98
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
31%
17%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,493,175,67sigur1,06–3,931,62–4,732,68–8,66mai sigur0,67–4,321,19–5,151,86–9,47
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,39 0,42–2,35 0,17–2,61 | 1,12 0,26–1,97 0,03–2,20 | 2,50 0,68–4,33 0,20–4,81 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,65 2,79–6,51 2,30–7,00 | 3,89 2,15–5,64 1,68–6,10 | 8,54 4,94–12,15 3,98–13,10 | 53% 13% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 12,96 9,03–16,88 7,94–17,97 | 11,69 8,12–15,25 7,16–16,21 | 24,64 17,15–32,13 15,10–34,18 | 56% 36% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,10 6,16–12,04 5,33–12,87 | 7,30 4,62–9,98 3,88–10,72 | 16,40 10,78–22,02 9,21–23,59 | 63% 28% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,55 1,67–5,44 1,13–5,98 | 3,58 1,92–5,23 1,43–5,72 | 7,13 3,60–10,67 2,56–11,70 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Cornere | 5,15 2,94–7,36 2,36–7,94 | 4,32 2,32–6,32 1,79–6,85 | 9,47 5,25–13,68 4,15–14,79 | 54% 33% |
| Posesie % | 44,36 37,57–51,15 35,90–52,82 | 55,62 48,84–62,40 47,16–64,08 | — | 23% 73% |
| Pase | 403 336–470 318–489 | 513 447–580 429–597 | 917 783–1050 747–1086 | 18% 82% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,58 59,55–67,61 58,26–68,90 | 72,07 67,74–76,39 66,43–77,70 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 12,57 9,73–15,41 8,98–16,16 | 11,34 8,40–14,29 7,65–15,04 | 23,91 18,13–29,69 16,63–31,20 | 56% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,86 0,70–3,02 0,40–3,32 | 1,44 0,34–2,53 0,06–2,82 | 3,30 1,04–5,55 0,45–6,14 | 48% 23% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,68 0,63–2,73 0,37–3,00 | 1,56 0,43–2,69 0,14–2,98 | 3,25 1,07–5,42 0,51–5,98 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,49 1,06–3,93 0,67–4,32 | 3,17 1,62–4,73 1,19–5,15 | 5,67 2,68–8,66 1,86–9,47 | 31% 17% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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