Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
25%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,411,432,84sigur0,44–2,380,58–2,291,02–4,67mai sigur0,19–2,630,35–2,510,54–5,15
Șuturi pe poartă
43%
14%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,484,518,99sigur2,62–6,342,76–6,255,38–12,59mai sigur2,13–6,832,30–6,724,43–13,55
Total șuturi
56%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9412,6126,54sigur10,01–17,869,04–16,1719,06–34,03mai sigur8,92–18,958,09–17,1317,01–36,08
Șuturi din careu
48%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,708,4117,11sigur5,76–11,655,73–11,0911,49–22,74mai sigur4,93–12,484,99–11,839,92–24,30
Șuturi blocate
47%
14%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,103,827,92sigur2,21–5,982,17–5,484,38–11,45mai sigur1,67–6,521,68–5,973,35–12,49
Cornere
54%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,294,509,79sigur3,08–7,502,50–6,505,57–14,00mai sigur2,50–8,081,96–7,034,47–15,11
Posesie %
39%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,3152,23sigur41,52–55,1045,45–59,02mai sigur39,85–56,7743,78–60,69
Pase
53%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție465457922sigur398–532390–523788–1056mai sigur380–551373–541753–1091
Precizie pase %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,7569,98sigur58,72–66,7865,65–74,30mai sigur57,43–68,0764,34–75,61
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0012,0923,09sigur8,16–13,849,15–15,0317,31–28,87mai sigur7,41–14,608,40–15,7815,80–30,38
Ofsaiduri
39%
25%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,422,92sigur0,34–2,660,33–2,520,67–5,18mai sigur0,04–2,960,04–2,810,08–5,77
Cartonașe galbene
30%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,863,29sigur0,38–2,480,73–2,991,11–5,47mai sigur0,11–2,740,44–3,280,55–6,02
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
43%
17%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,992,905,89sigur1,56–4,431,34–4,452,90–8,88mai sigur1,17–4,820,92–4,882,09–9,70
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,41 0,44–2,38 0,19–2,63 | 1,43 0,58–2,29 0,35–2,51 | 2,84 1,02–4,67 0,54–5,15 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,48 2,62–6,34 2,13–6,83 | 4,51 2,76–6,25 2,30–6,72 | 8,99 5,38–12,59 4,43–13,55 | 43% 14% 44% |
| Total șuturi | 13,94 10,01–17,86 8,92–18,95 | 12,61 9,04–16,17 8,09–17,13 | 26,54 19,06–34,03 17,01–36,08 | 56% 36% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,70 5,76–11,65 4,93–12,48 | 8,41 5,73–11,09 4,99–11,83 | 17,11 11,49–22,74 9,92–24,30 | 48% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,10 2,21–5,98 1,67–6,52 | 3,82 2,17–5,48 1,68–5,97 | 7,92 4,38–11,45 3,35–12,49 | 47% 14% 39% |
| Cornere | 5,29 3,08–7,50 2,50–8,08 | 4,50 2,50–6,50 1,96–7,03 | 9,79 5,57–14,00 4,47–15,11 | 54% 34% |
| Posesie % | 48,31 41,52–55,10 39,85–56,77 | 52,23 45,45–59,02 43,78–60,69 | — | 39% 57% |
| Pase | 465 398–532 380–551 | 457 390–523 373–541 | 922 788–1056 753–1091 | 53% 47% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,75 58,72–66,78 57,43–68,07 | 69,98 65,65–74,30 64,34–75,61 | — | 16% 81% |
| Faulturi | 11,00 8,16–13,84 7,41–14,60 | 12,09 9,15–15,03 8,40–15,78 | 23,09 17,31–28,87 15,80–30,38 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,50 0,34–2,66 0,04–2,96 | 1,42 0,33–2,52 0,04–2,81 | 2,92 0,67–5,18 0,08–5,77 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,43 0,38–2,48 0,11–2,74 | 1,86 0,73–2,99 0,44–3,28 | 3,29 1,11–5,47 0,55–6,02 | 30% 23% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,99 1,56–4,43 1,17–4,82 | 2,90 1,34–4,45 0,92–4,88 | 5,89 2,90–8,88 2,09–9,70 | 43% 17% 40% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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