Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
28%
23%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,833,15sigur0,35–2,290,97–2,681,33–4,97mai sigur0,10–2,540,74–2,910,85–5,45
Șuturi pe poartă
36%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,945,5610,50sigur3,08–6,813,82–7,306,90–14,11mai sigur2,59–7,303,35–7,775,94–15,07
Total șuturi
47%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,8714,7829,65sigur10,95–18,7911,22–18,3422,16–37,14mai sigur9,85–19,8910,26–19,3020,11–39,19
Șuturi din careu
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,7410,2720,01sigur6,79–12,687,59–12,9514,38–25,63mai sigur5,97–13,516,85–13,6912,82–27,20
Șuturi blocate
41%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,364,558,91sigur2,48–6,252,90–6,205,38–12,45mai sigur1,94–6,792,40–6,694,34–13,48
Cornere
36%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,905,5610,45sigur2,68–7,113,56–7,566,24–14,67mai sigur2,11–7,683,02–8,095,13–15,77
Posesie %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,1954,07sigur38,40–51,9847,28–60,85mai sigur36,73–53,6545,61–62,52
Pase
24%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție444528971sigur376–511461–594838–1105mai sigur358–529444–612802–1141
Precizie pase %
15%
82%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,1779,76sigur68,14–76,2075,44–84,08mai sigur66,85–77,4974,13–85,39
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0410,3920,42sigur7,20–12,877,44–13,3314,64–26,20mai sigur6,44–13,636,69–14,0813,13–27,71
Ofsaiduri
39%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,703,41sigur0,55–2,870,61–2,791,15–5,66mai sigur0,25–3,170,32–3,080,56–6,25
Cartonașe galbene
42%
24%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,423,01sigur0,54–2,630,29–2,550,83–5,18mai sigur0,27–2,900,00–2,840,27–5,74
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,070,14sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,250,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,390,00–0,77
Parade portar
52%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,793,126,91sigur2,36–5,231,56–4,683,92–9,90mai sigur1,97–5,621,14–5,103,11–10,72
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,32 0,35–2,29 0,10–2,54 | 1,83 0,97–2,68 0,74–2,91 | 3,15 1,33–4,97 0,85–5,45 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,94 3,08–6,81 2,59–7,30 | 5,56 3,82–7,30 3,35–7,77 | 10,50 6,90–14,11 5,94–15,07 | 36% 51% |
| Total șuturi | 14,87 10,95–18,79 9,85–19,89 | 14,78 11,22–18,34 10,26–19,30 | 29,65 22,16–37,14 20,11–39,19 | 47% 46% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,74 6,79–12,68 5,97–13,51 | 10,27 7,59–12,95 6,85–13,69 | 20,01 14,38–25,63 12,82–27,20 | 41% 50% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,36 2,48–6,25 1,94–6,79 | 4,55 2,90–6,20 2,40–6,69 | 8,91 5,38–12,45 4,34–13,48 | 41% 14% 46% |
| Cornere | 4,90 2,68–7,11 2,11–7,68 | 5,56 3,56–7,56 3,02–8,09 | 10,45 6,24–14,67 5,13–15,77 | 36% 52% |
| Posesie % | 45,19 38,40–51,98 36,73–53,65 | 54,07 47,28–60,85 45,61–62,52 | — | 28% 68% |
| Pase | 444 376–511 358–529 | 528 461–594 444–612 | 971 838–1105 802–1141 | 24% 76% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,17 68,14–76,20 66,85–77,49 | 79,76 75,44–84,08 74,13–85,39 | — | 15% 82% |
| Faulturi | 10,04 7,20–12,87 6,44–13,63 | 10,39 7,44–13,33 6,69–14,08 | 20,42 14,64–26,20 13,13–27,71 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,71 0,55–2,87 0,25–3,17 | 1,70 0,61–2,79 0,32–3,08 | 3,41 1,15–5,66 0,56–6,25 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,59 0,54–2,63 0,27–2,90 | 1,42 0,29–2,55 0,00–2,84 | 3,01 0,83–5,18 0,27–5,74 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,07 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,39 | 0,14 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,77 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 3,79 2,36–5,23 1,97–5,62 | 3,12 1,56–4,68 1,14–5,10 | 6,91 3,92–9,90 3,11–10,72 | 52% 15% 33% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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