Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 33·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
56%
22%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,991,193,18sigur1,02–2,960,33–2,041,35–5,00mai sigur0,77–3,210,11–2,270,88–5,48
Șuturi pe poartă
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,223,8610,08sigur4,36–8,092,12–5,606,48–13,69mai sigur3,87–8,581,65–6,075,52–14,64
Total șuturi
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,2811,0729,34sigur14,35–22,207,50–14,6321,86–36,83mai sigur13,26–23,296,55–15,5919,81–38,88
Șuturi din careu
81%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,837,5519,38sigur8,89–14,774,87–10,2313,76–25,00mai sigur8,06–15,604,13–10,9712,19–26,57
Șuturi blocate
70%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,113,108,20sigur3,22–6,991,44–4,754,67–11,74mai sigur2,68–7,530,95–5,243,63–12,77
Cornere
60%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,154,8210,97sigur3,94–8,362,82–6,826,75–15,18mai sigur3,36–8,942,28–7,355,65–16,29
Posesie %
61%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,1547,48sigur46,36–59,9440,70–54,27mai sigur44,69–61,6139,03–55,94
Pase
70%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție481418899sigur414–549352–485766–1033mai sigur396–567334–502730–1069
Precizie pase %
30%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,6271,22sigur63,59–71,6566,90–75,54mai sigur62,30–72,9465,59–76,85
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0411,1822,23sigur8,21–13,888,24–14,1316,44–28,01mai sigur7,45–14,647,49–14,8714,94–29,51
Ofsaiduri
45%
22%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,583,44sigur0,70–3,020,48–2,671,18–5,69mai sigur0,40–3,320,19–2,960,59–6,28
Cartonașe galbene
33%
24%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,612,99sigur0,32–2,420,48–2,740,81–5,16mai sigur0,06–2,690,19–3,030,25–5,72
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
23%
14%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,563,886,44sigur1,12–3,992,33–5,443,45–9,43mai sigur0,73–4,381,90–5,862,64–10,25
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,99 1,02–2,96 0,77–3,21 | 1,19 0,33–2,04 0,11–2,27 | 3,18 1,35–5,00 0,88–5,48 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,22 4,36–8,09 3,87–8,58 | 3,86 2,12–5,60 1,65–6,07 | 10,08 6,48–13,69 5,52–14,64 | 72% 18% |
| Total șuturi | 18,28 14,35–22,20 13,26–23,29 | 11,07 7,50–14,63 6,55–15,59 | 29,34 21,86–36,83 19,81–38,88 | 89% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,83 8,89–14,77 8,06–15,60 | 7,55 4,87–10,23 4,13–10,97 | 19,38 13,76–25,00 12,19–26,57 | 81% 14% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,11 3,22–6,99 2,68–7,53 | 3,10 1,44–4,75 0,95–5,24 | 8,20 4,67–11,74 3,63–12,77 | 70% 19% |
| Cornere | 6,15 3,94–8,36 3,36–8,94 | 4,82 2,82–6,82 2,28–7,35 | 10,97 6,75–15,18 5,65–16,29 | 60% 29% |
| Posesie % | 53,15 46,36–59,94 44,69–61,61 | 47,48 40,70–54,27 39,03–55,94 | — | 61% 35% |
| Pase | 481 414–549 396–567 | 418 352–485 334–502 | 899 766–1033 730–1069 | 70% 30% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,62 63,59–71,65 62,30–72,94 | 71,22 66,90–75,54 65,59–76,85 | — | 30% 66% |
| Faulturi | 11,04 8,21–13,88 7,45–14,64 | 11,18 8,24–14,13 7,49–14,87 | 22,23 16,44–28,01 14,94–29,51 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,86 0,70–3,02 0,40–3,32 | 1,58 0,48–2,67 0,19–2,96 | 3,44 1,18–5,69 0,59–6,28 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,37 0,32–2,42 0,06–2,69 | 1,61 0,48–2,74 0,19–3,03 | 2,99 0,81–5,16 0,25–5,72 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,56 1,12–3,99 0,73–4,38 | 3,88 2,33–5,44 1,90–5,86 | 6,44 3,45–9,43 2,64–10,25 | 23% 14% 63% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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